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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 56.18 | $0.089 | $10.53 | +$5.53 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Trump post "No cards" or "All the cards" on Truth Social this week?Yes | buy | 5.8 | $0.300 | $1.74 | May 12, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 67.82 |
| $0.442 |
| $9.83 |
| -$20.17 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 45.98 | $0.435 | $6.97 | -$13.03 |
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 172.92 | $0.092 | $4.67 | -$11.33 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 18.87 | $0.265 | $3.8 | -$1.2 |
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 25 | $0.040 | $1.66 | +$0.66 |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | Yes | 20 | $0.250 | $1 | -$4 |
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 9.38 | $0.320 | $0.84 | -$2.16 |
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 9.26 | $0.540 | $0.51 | -$4.49 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Yes | 10.26 | $0.390 | $0.46 | -$3.54 |
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 40.74 | $0.245 | $0.31 | -$9.69 |
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 83.33 | $0.012 | $0.12 | -$0.88 |
| buy |
| 11.48 |
| $0.436 |
| $5 |
| May 12, 2026 |
Will J.D. Vance attend Trump’s Xi summit?Yes | buy | 91.67 | $0.011 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.260 | $2 | May 8, 2026 |
Will Trump endorse Susan Collins for ME-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.370 | $5 | May 8, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.340 | $4 | May 5, 2026 |
Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | May 5, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Elephant" in May?Yes | buy | 12.21 | $0.410 | $5 | May 3, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Hawk" in May?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | May 3, 2026 |
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?Yes | buy | 14.74 | $0.270 | $3.98 | May 2, 2026 |
Will Trump praise Barack Obama by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.13 | $0.390 | $2 | May 2, 2026 |
Will Trump praise Hillary Clinton by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | May 2, 2026 |
Will Trump praise Joe Biden by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | May 2, 2026 |
Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in May?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | May 2, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Snake" in May?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.490 | $10 | May 2, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Panther" in May?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | May 2, 2026 |
Will Trump name "Gianni" or "Infantino" in April?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Apr 29, 2026 |
Will Trump name "Friedrich" or "Merz" in April?Yes | buy | 8.8 | $0.114 | $1 | Apr 29, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Paper Clip" in April?Yes | sell | 16.36 | $0.303 | $4.96 | Apr 28, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | sell | 13.15 | $0.004 | $0.05 | Apr 28, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes | sell | 31.25 | $0.002 | $0.06 | Apr 28, 2026 |
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 26.45 | $0.048 | $1.27 | Apr 27, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Ballroom" during King Charles visit?Yes | buy | 2.02 | $0.640 | $1.29 | Apr 27, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Pouring Into Our Country" this week? (April 27 - May 3)Yes | buy | 3.18 | $0.610 | $1.94 | Apr 27, 2026 |
Will Trump say "My Father" or "My Mother" this week? (April 27 - May 3)Yes | buy | 6.29 | $0.300 | $1.89 | Apr 27, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Scotland" this week? (April 27 - May 3)Yes | buy | 4.92 | $0.590 | $2.9 | Apr 27, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Hottest" today?Yes | buy | 7.75 | $0.120 | $0.93 | Apr 26, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Muslim" during King Charles visit?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Apr 26, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Sovereign / Sovereignty" in April?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.720 | $2 | Apr 26, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Kennedy Center" in April?Yes | buy | 4.44 | $0.450 | $2 | Apr 26, 2026 |
Will Trump say "White House Doctor" in April?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.360 | $2 | Apr 26, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Coward" in April?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2 | Apr 26, 2026 |
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No | sell | 10.63 | $0.946 | $10.06 | Apr 26, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Mustache" in April?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Apr 25, 2026 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?No | sell | 7.3 | $0.963 | $7.03 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | sell | 17.85 | $0.041 | $0.73 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Hottest" during King Charles visit?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Apr 24, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Christian" during King Charles visit?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Apr 24, 2026 |
Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?No | buy | 2.3 | $0.870 | $2 | Apr 24, 2026 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes | buy | 5.63 | $0.888 | $5 | Apr 24, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?No | buy | 5.75 | $0.870 | $5 | Apr 24, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?No | buy | 2.47 | $0.810 | $2 | Apr 24, 2026 |
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 11.54 | $0.260 | $3 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.210 | $3 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 9.38 | $0.320 | $3 | Apr 23, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Apr 23, 2026 |