Analytics
Rank, Total PnL and Observed Volume retain the selected Observed 80K snapshot. Positions, chart and recent trades are independent Polymarket observations. Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 300 | $0.956 | $288.75 | +$1.95 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 19?Yes | buy | 39.99 | $0.935 | $37.39 | 25d ago |
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| No |
| 299.99 |
| $0.960 |
| $288.29 |
| +$0.2 |
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 200 | $0.810 | $186 | +$24 |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 300 | $0.080 | $39.75 | +$15.75 |
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | No | 40.63 | $0.800 | $38.19 | +$5.69 |
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 400 | $0.050 | $21 | +$1 |
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 2K | $0.008 | $15 | -$1 |
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 200 | $0.180 | $12 | -$24 |
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 440 | $0.011 | $3.74 | -$1.1 |
| sell |
| 80 |
| $0.370 |
| $29.6 |
| Jul 27, 2026 |
Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?Yes | buy | 20.03 | $0.006 | $0.12 | Jul 21, 2026 |
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 900 | $0.047 | $42.3 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in June?No | sell | 200 | $0.860 | $172 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Ducks vs. PredatorsPredators | buy | 20 | $0.520 | $10.4 | Apr 16, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Iran" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?No | sell | 40 | $0.344 | $13.75 | Apr 5, 2026 |
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 1K | $0.988 | $988 | Mar 31, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | sell | 110 | $0.910 | $100.1 | Mar 31, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No | sell | 60 | $0.800 | $48 | Mar 31, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Women's Sports" during National Agriculture Day events?No | buy | 30 | $0.650 | $19.5 | Mar 27, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 110 | $0.860 | $94.6 | Mar 27, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | sell | 29.34 | $0.320 | $9.39 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?No | buy | 60 | $0.770 | $46.2 | Mar 25, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No | buy | 60 | $0.720 | $43.2 | Mar 22, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?No | sell | 445.91 | $0.925 | $412.47 | Mar 22, 2026 |
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 500 | $0.987 | $493.5 | Mar 22, 2026 |
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.440 | $22 | Mar 21, 2026 |
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 500 | $0.983 | $491.5 | Mar 21, 2026 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?No | buy | 1K | $0.993 | $993 | Mar 21, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | sell | 1.08K | $0.013 | $14.04 | Mar 21, 2026 |
Government shutdown on Saturday?No | buy | 200 | $0.986 | $197.16 | Feb 14, 2026 |
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.450 | $22.5 | Feb 14, 2026 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 4.15K | $0.003 | $12.45 | Jan 15, 2026 |
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be over 5.0%?No | buy | 30 | $0.928 | $27.83 | Jan 15, 2026 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.2K | $0.004 | $16.8 | Jan 15, 2026 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on January 15?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.016 | $3.21 | Jan 15, 2026 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on January 15?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.021 | $4.2 | Jan 15, 2026 |
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?Yes | buy | 47.91 | $0.973 | $46.62 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.900 | $27 | Nov 14, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 3.6K | $0.007 | $25.2 | Oct 26, 2025 |
US recession in 2025?No | sell | 10 | $0.950 | $9.5 | Oct 26, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.6K | $0.008 | $28.8 | Oct 26, 2025 |
US recession in 2025?No | buy | 10 | $0.900 | $9 | Sep 12, 2025 |
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 20 | $0.870 | $17.4 | Aug 17, 2025 |
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 20 | $0.900 | $18 | Aug 8, 2025 |
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 15 | $0.925 | $13.88 | Jul 29, 2025 |
Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?No | buy | 60 | $0.998 | $59.88 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 15 | $0.922 | $13.83 | Jul 21, 2025 |
TikTok sale announced before May?No | buy | 25 | $0.640 | $16 | Mar 28, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by March 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.962 | $19.24 | Mar 28, 2025 |
Will US gov sell Bitcoin before Trump inauguration?No | sell | 40 | $0.860 | $34.4 | Dec 26, 2024 |
Will Ukraine join NATO in 2024?No | sell | 25.21 | $0.998 | $25.16 | Dec 26, 2024 |
Will Coinbase list $PEPE in 2024?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.260 | $18.2 | Nov 10, 2024 |
Will Trump win no swing states?No | buy | 128.4 | $0.910 | $116.84 | Nov 5, 2024 |
Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce break up in 2024?No | sell | 70 | $0.920 | $64.4 | Nov 5, 2024 |
Evidence released that Kamala worked at McDonald's?No | buy | 30 | $0.950 | $28.5 | Oct 24, 2024 |
Trump wins every swing state?No | buy | 57.14 | $0.700 | $40 | Oct 17, 2024 |
Will Trump tweet 10-14 times October 11-18?No | buy | 165.86 | $0.998 | $165.54 | Oct 12, 2024 |
Will Qualcomm acquire Intel?No | buy | 40.65 | $0.984 | $40 | Oct 12, 2024 |