Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?Yes | sell | 32.6 | $0.860 | $28.04 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 33.33 |
| $0.880 |
| $29.33 |
| Oct 8, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2025?Yes | sell | 31.57 | $0.960 | $30.31 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?No | sell | 32.89 | $0.900 | $29.6 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by October 31?No | sell | 35.29 | $0.880 | $31.06 | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.900 | $30 | Oct 3, 2025 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by October 31?No | buy | 35.29 | $0.850 | $30 | Oct 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?No | buy | 32.89 | $0.760 | $25 | Oct 2, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2025?Yes | buy | 31.58 | $0.950 | $30 | Oct 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?Yes | buy | 32.61 | $0.920 | $30 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?Yes | buy | 37.5 | $0.800 | $30 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Will BLɅϽKPIИK release an album before 2026?Yes | sell | 2.71 | $0.753 | $2.04 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.860 | $51.6 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | sell | 0.34 | $0.958 | $0.33 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in September?No | sell | 2.52 | $0.995 | $2.51 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Argentina in September?No | sell | 55.14 | $0.993 | $54.77 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 US strikes Yemen by September 30?No | sell | 74.25 | $0.971 | $72.13 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in September?No | sell | 236.83 | $0.992 | $234.94 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in September?No | sell | 1.28K | $0.993 | $1.27K | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?Yes | sell | 130 | $0.670 | $87.1 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced by September 30?No | buy | 50 | $0.960 | $48 | Sep 27, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in September?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.965 | $144.7 | Sep 24, 2025 |
| Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.850 | $85 | Sep 24, 2025 |
| Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.830 | $24.9 | Sep 24, 2025 |
| US strikes Yemen by September 30?No | buy | 188 | $0.933 | $175.32 | Sep 24, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Argentina in September?No | buy | 5.15 | $0.971 | $5 | Sep 24, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Lula da Silva in 2025?Yes | buy | 200.25 | $0.999 | $200 | Sep 23, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Lula da Silva in 2025?Yes | buy | 14.21 | $0.975 | $13.85 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 Will France recognize Palestine in 2025?Yes | buy | 100.04 | $0.996 | $99.6 | Sep 22, 2025 |
| TikTok sale announced by September 30?No | buy | 36.57 | $0.810 | $29.62 | Sep 22, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Argentina in September?No | buy | 49.99 | $0.925 | $46.24 | Sep 22, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in September?No | buy | 210.38 | $0.940 | $197.76 | Sep 22, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in September?No | buy | 415 | $0.970 | $402.55 | Sep 22, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in September?No | buy | 100 | $0.960 | $96 | Sep 22, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in September?No | buy | 767.52 | $0.960 | $736.82 | Sep 22, 2025 |
 No change in Bank of England's interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 40.74 | $0.999 | $40.7 | Sep 18, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during September press conference?Yes | buy | 83.13 | $0.929 | $77.21 | Sep 18, 2025 |
| Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?No | sell | 51.9 | $0.999 | $51.85 | Sep 18, 2025 |
| Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 115.7 | $0.998 | $115.41 | Sep 18, 2025 |
| No change in Bank of England's interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 40.74 | $0.997 | $40.64 | Sep 18, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 71.74 | $0.920 | $66 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 326.09 | $0.920 | $300 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 153.06 | $0.980 | $150 | Sep 17, 2025 |
 Will the Nepalese government fall by September 30?No | sell | 10 | $0.961 | $9.61 | Sep 17, 2025 |
 NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30?No | sell | 20 | $0.800 | $16 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.930 | $93 | Sep 17, 2025 |
 Will Giannis Antetokounmpo join a new team this offseason?No | sell | 58.08 | $0.950 | $55.18 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in September?No | buy | 636.99 | $0.900 | $573.29 | Sep 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (September 15-21)No | buy | 10 | $0.850 | $8.5 | Sep 15, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 307.38 | $0.976 | $300 | Sep 15, 2025 |