Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?No | buy | 5.36 | $0.560 | $3 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 8.77 |
| $0.570 |
| $5 |
| Nov 21, 2025 |
 Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?No | buy | 7.41 | $0.540 | $4 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during the Brian Kilmeade Show on November 21?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.540 | $3 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during the Brian Kilmeade Show on November 21?Yes | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 1.85 | $0.530 | $0.98 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.85 | $0.570 | $1.05 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?Yes | sell | 1.11 | $0.980 | $1.09 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Yes | sell | 5.55 | $0.755 | $4.19 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?Yes | sell | 12.49 | $0.330 | $4.12 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?No | sell | 5.66 | $0.980 | $5.55 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.896 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.958 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1.07 | $0.931 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: MrBeast EditionNo | sell | 7.4 | $0.240 | $1.78 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.72 | $0.560 | $0.96 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?Yes | buy | 5.36 | $0.560 | $3 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: MrBeast EditionNo | buy | 7.41 | $0.540 | $4 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.560 | $4 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 Fed rate cut by September meeting?Yes | sell | 5.66 | $0.973 | $5.51 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.64 | $0.550 | $2 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Fed rate cut by September meeting?Yes | buy | 5.66 | $0.530 | $3 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?No | buy | 5.66 | $0.530 | $3 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump’s approval rating be 44.0–44.4% on July 18?Yes | buy | 5.77 | $0.520 | $3 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 5.55 | $0.490 | $2.72 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-2?No | buy | 5.77 | $0.520 | $3 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.540 | $3 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 Will Vitality win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournamentNo | buy | 5.36 | $0.560 | $3 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 UFC Fight Night: Bleda vs. HorthBleda | buy | 5.88 | $0.510 | $3 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.540 | $3 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months?No | sell | 2.12 | $0.120 | $0.25 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?Yes | sell | 6.12 | $0.390 | $2.39 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 Ethereum Up or Down on May 20?Up | buy | 4 | $0.500 | $2 | May 19, 2025 |
 Hyperliquid Up or Down on May 20?Up | buy | 3.92 | $0.510 | $2 | May 19, 2025 |
 Solana Up or Down on May 20?Up | buy | 3.92 | $0.510 | $2 | May 19, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on May 20?Up | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | May 19, 2025 |
| Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Mar 18, 2025 |
 Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May?Yes | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | Mar 18, 2025 |
 Will Florida win the West region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Mar 18, 2025 |
| Will Duke win the East region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?Yes | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Mar 18, 2025 |
 Will Prince Andrew be named in Epstein files?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.540 | $3 | Feb 18, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?No | buy | 5.45 | $0.550 | $3 | Feb 18, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?Yes | buy | 6.12 | $0.490 | $3 | Feb 18, 2025 |
 Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?No | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Jan 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump impose tariffs on China in his first week?Yes | buy | 4.08 | $0.490 | $2 | Jan 16, 2025 |
 Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.480 | $2 | Jan 16, 2025 |