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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 282.86 | $0.070 | $19.8 | Sep 19, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 23.02 |
| $0.860 |
| $19.8 |
| Sep 19, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 230.23 | $0.043 | $9.9 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?No | buy | 16.5 | $0.600 | $9.9 | Sep 19, 2025 |
| Will Trump announce Chris Waller as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 66.94 | $0.296 | $19.8 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 21.52 | $0.230 | $4.95 | Sep 19, 2025 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 20.8 | $0.238 | $4.95 | Sep 18, 2025 |
 Fed rate hike in 2025?Yes | sell | 114 | $0.040 | $4.56 | Sep 5, 2025 |
| Fed rate hike in 2025?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.040 | $0.2 | Sep 5, 2025 |
| Fed rate hike in 2025?Yes | buy | 99 | $0.050 | $4.95 | Sep 5, 2025 |
| Fed rate hike in 2025?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Sep 5, 2025 |
 Will Biden finish his term?Yes | sell | 4K | $0.920 | $3.68K | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in November?No | sell | 3.95K | $0.093 | $366.66 | Nov 11, 2024 |
| Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 4K | $0.930 | $3.72K | Nov 9, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in November?No | buy | 1.3K | $0.750 | $975 | Nov 8, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in November?No | buy | 400 | $0.750 | $300 | Nov 8, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in November?No | buy | 750 | $0.655 | $491.5 | Nov 8, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in November?No | buy | 2.38K | $0.675 | $1.61K | Nov 8, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in November?No | buy | 786 | $0.650 | $510.9 | Nov 8, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in November?No | buy | 35 | $0.640 | $22.4 | Nov 8, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in November?No | buy | 2K | $0.700 | $1.4K | Nov 7, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in November?No | buy | 3.64K | $0.700 | $2.55K | Nov 7, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in November?No | buy | 900 | $0.690 | $621 | Nov 7, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?No | buy | 200 | $0.028 | $5.6 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 5K | $0.146 | $730.12 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 5K | $0.162 | $810.8 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Bitcoin above $69,000 on October 25?Yes | sell | 2.09K | $0.230 | $480.81 | Oct 24, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 3.53K | $0.406 | $1.43K | Oct 20, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.594 | $2.97K | Oct 20, 2024 |
| Bitcoin above $69,000 on October 25?Yes | buy | 1.75K | $0.490 | $858.48 | Oct 19, 2024 |
| Bitcoin above $69,000 on October 25?Yes | buy | 553.49 | $0.480 | $265.68 | Oct 19, 2024 |
 Tesla sells bitcoin in October?No | buy | 2.37K | $0.940 | $2.23K | Oct 19, 2024 |
| Bitcoin above $62,000 on October 18?Yes | buy | 8.9K | $0.890 | $7.92K | Oct 15, 2024 |
 Ethereum above $2,400 on October 11?No | buy | 700 | $0.410 | $287 | Oct 8, 2024 |
| Ethereum above $2,400 on October 11?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.600 | $600 | Oct 8, 2024 |
 Solana above $145 on October 11?No | buy | 700 | $0.590 | $413 | Oct 5, 2024 |
| Solana above $145 on October 11?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.440 | $308 | Oct 5, 2024 |
| Ethereum above $2,400 on October 11?No | buy | 1K | $0.500 | $500 | Oct 5, 2024 |
| Ethereum above $2,400 on October 11?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.520 | $520 | Oct 5, 2024 |
| Bitcoin above $62,000 on October 11?No | buy | 8.52 | $0.500 | $4.26 | Oct 5, 2024 |
| Bitcoin above $62,000 on October 11?No | buy | 400 | $0.510 | $204 | Oct 5, 2024 |
| Bitcoin above $62,000 on October 11?No | buy | 220 | $0.500 | $110 | Oct 5, 2024 |
| Bitcoin above $62,000 on October 11?No | buy | 273 | $0.490 | $133.77 | Oct 5, 2024 |
| Bitcoin above $62,000 on October 11?Yes | buy | 889 | $0.520 | $462.28 | Oct 5, 2024 |
| Ethereum above $2,600 on October 4?No | buy | 112.6 | $0.980 | $110.35 | Oct 3, 2024 |
| Bitcoin above $65,000 on October 4?No | buy | 378.88 | $0.630 | $238.69 | Sep 30, 2024 |
| Bitcoin above $65,000 on October 4?Yes | buy | 1.9K | $0.380 | $722 | Sep 30, 2024 |
| Bitcoin above $65,000 on October 4?No | buy | 630 | $0.630 | $396.9 | Sep 30, 2024 |
| Bitcoin above $65,000 on October 4?Yes | buy | 380 | $0.380 | $144.4 | Sep 30, 2024 |
 Bitcoin above $60,000 on October 1?Yes | buy | 135.75 | $0.989 | $134.26 | Sep 30, 2024 |