Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 11 | $0.815 | $8.97 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 29 |
| $0.961 |
| $27.87 |
| Jun 6, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 29 | $0.961 | $27.87 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 33 | $0.490 | $16.17 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 33 | $0.490 | $16.17 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 32 | $0.989 | $31.65 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 32 | $0.989 | $31.65 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.350 | $28 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.410 | $6.56 | May 30, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 24 | $0.440 | $10.56 | May 29, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.440 | $14.52 | May 28, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.303 | $27.27 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 78 | $0.043 | $3.35 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 39 | $0.985 | $38.42 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 39 | $0.984 | $38.38 | May 28, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.550 | $0.55 | May 27, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.500 | $4.5 | May 27, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by May 31?No | buy | 35 | $0.976 | $34.16 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on June 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.998 | $4.99 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | sell | 16 | $0.051 | $0.82 | Jun 27, 2025 |
| Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | sell | 14 | $0.053 | $0.74 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 100–114 times June 20–27?No | buy | 1.72 | $0.975 | $1.68 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.070 | $0.84 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 19 | $0.973 | $18.49 | May 24, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $80k in May?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.008 | $0.41 | May 23, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1700 in May?No | buy | 18 | $0.985 | $17.73 | May 22, 2025 |
 Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 0-3%?Yes | sell | 18 | $0.989 | $17.8 | May 22, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80k in May?Yes | buy | 37 | $0.012 | $0.44 | May 21, 2025 |
 Will 'Mononoke The Movie: The Phantom in the Rain' win Crunchyroll's Film of the Year Award for 2025?Yes | sell | 67 | $0.021 | $1.41 | May 20, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 275–299 times May 16–23?No | buy | 17 | $0.993 | $16.88 | May 20, 2025 |
| Will 'Mononoke The Movie: The Phantom in the Rain' win Crunchyroll's Film of the Year Award for 2025?Yes | buy | 76 | $0.021 | $1.6 | May 20, 2025 |
 Will the General Liberation and Development Party win the most seats in the 2025 Suriname election?No | sell | 19 | $0.993 | $18.86 | May 20, 2025 |
| Will the General Liberation and Development Party win the most seats in the 2025 Suriname election?No | buy | 19 | $0.991 | $18.83 | May 19, 2025 |
 Will Pierre Gasly finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?No | buy | 19 | $0.996 | $18.92 | May 19, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.921 | $4.61 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on May 31?No | buy | 21.01 | $0.977 | $20.53 | May 18, 2025 |
| Will another driver finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?No | buy | 23 | $0.995 | $22.89 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | sell | 23 | $0.970 | $22.31 | May 17, 2025 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 23 | $0.978 | $22.49 | May 15, 2025 |
 Will Kylian Mbappe win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 26 | $0.970 | $25.22 | May 13, 2025 |
 Will SER win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.007 | $0.14 | May 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump deport 1,000,000-1,250,000 people?No | sell | 20 | $0.973 | $19.46 | May 13, 2025 |
 Will Germany win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 27 | $0.991 | $26.76 | May 11, 2025 |
 Will Adrienne Adams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 27 | $0.994 | $26.84 | May 10, 2025 |
 Will 'Michael' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No | sell | 27 | $0.991 | $26.76 | May 10, 2025 |
 Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 27 | $0.976 | $26.35 | May 10, 2025 |
 Will Aaron Rodgers sign with the San Francisco 49ers?No | buy | 25 | $0.993 | $24.83 | May 9, 2025 |
 Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2025 National League Championship?No | sell | 25 | $0.994 | $24.85 | May 9, 2025 |
| Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2025 National League Championship?No | buy | 25 | $0.994 | $24.85 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 26 | $0.991 | $25.77 | May 8, 2025 |