Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?No | buy | 71.57 | $0.992 | $71 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 145.45 |
| $0.990 |
| $144 |
| Aug 7, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 134.48 | $0.989 | $133 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | buy | 186.14 | $0.967 | $180 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 129.41 | $0.935 | $121 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?No | buy | 110.78 | $0.993 | $110 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No | buy | 140.12 | $0.992 | $139 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?No | buy | 146.02 | $0.993 | $145 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | buy | 101.11 | $0.989 | $100 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 102 | $0.997 | $101.69 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?No | buy | 184.88 | $0.984 | $182 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 193.88 | $0.980 | $190 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 150.87 | $0.981 | $148 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?No | buy | 244.4 | $0.982 | $240 | May 3, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by May 31?No | buy | 252.63 | $0.990 | $250 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?No | buy | 303.34 | $0.989 | $300 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down on April 14?Up | buy | 305.51 | $0.979 | $299.09 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by April 30?No | buy | 206.03 | $0.995 | $205 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 154.32 | $0.972 | $150 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31?No | buy | 181.91 | $0.984 | $179 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | buy | 134.72 | $0.965 | $130 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 185.41 | $0.987 | $183 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 151.98 | $0.987 | $150 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | sell | 159.98 | $0.978 | $156.46 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?No | buy | 165.82 | $0.983 | $163 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 319.98 | $0.972 | $311 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming (BO3)EDward Gaming | buy | 157.3 | $0.890 | $140 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on December 9?No | sell | 210.42 | $0.020 | $4.27 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on December 9?No | buy | 210.42 | $0.998 | $210 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on December 9?Yes | buy | 122.49 | $0.996 | $122 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 129m and 143m?No | buy | 323.29 | $0.996 | $322 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 15?Yes | buy | 165.5 | $0.997 | $165 | Nov 10, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $112,000 on November 11?No | buy | 150.6 | $0.996 | $150 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October?No | buy | 267.35 | $0.980 | $262 | Oct 11, 2025 |
| buy | 40.16 | $0.996 | $40 | Oct 11, 2025 |
 Trump out as President by September 30?No | buy | 70.78 | $0.989 | $70 | Sep 14, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | buy | 253.78 | $0.985 | $250 | Sep 14, 2025 |
 Pump.fun buybacks $40M worth of $PUMP before September?Yes | buy | 266.89 | $0.997 | $266 | Aug 24, 2025 |
 Will the price of Solana be less than $160 on August 25?No | buy | 40.04 | $0.999 | $40 | Aug 24, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be less than $3500 on August 5 at 5PM ET?No | buy | 307.77 | $0.991 | $305 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on July 31?No | buy | 168.34 | $0.998 | $168 | Jul 9, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on July 9?Up | buy | 138.3 | $0.940 | $130 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin June 17-23?Yes | buy | 44.29 | $0.994 | $44 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4000 in June?No | buy | 250.75 | $0.997 | $250 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Bitcoin above $85,000 on April 25?Yes | buy | 6.01 | $0.998 | $6 | Apr 25, 2025 |
 Bitcoin all time high in April?No | buy | 303.95 | $0.987 | $300 | Apr 16, 2025 |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | buy | 277.28 | $0.999 | $277 | Mar 23, 2025 |
 Will Dogecoin reach $0.60 by February 28 2025?No | buy | 250.75 | $0.997 | $250 | Feb 18, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 284.56 | $0.991 | $282 | Jan 12, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?No | buy | 212.34 | $0.989 | $210 | Dec 14, 2024 |