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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SpaceX rescues stranded astronauts before March?Yes | buy | 22.37 | $0.051 | $1.13 | Jan 30, 2025 |
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| sell |
| 6.66 |
| $0.170 |
| $1.13 |
| Jan 30, 2025 |
Will the highest temperature in London be between 40-41°F on January 30?Yes | buy | 235.8 | $0.007 | $1.67 | Jan 29, 2025 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 39°F or below on January 30?Yes | buy | 233.6 | $0.004 | $1 | Jan 29, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 500.12 | $0.002 | $1 | Jan 29, 2025 |
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 43-44°F on January 28?Yes | buy | 37.18 | $0.039 | $1.45 | Jan 28, 2025 |
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 41-42°F on January 28?Yes | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Jan 28, 2025 |
DeepSeek better than all OpenAI models before March?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Jan 27, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 500.13 | $0.002 | $1 | Jan 27, 2025 |
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before April?Yes | buy | 18.15 | $0.055 | $1 | Jan 27, 2025 |
Will the highest temperature in London be between 46°F and 47°F on January 26?Yes | buy | 63.68 | $0.016 | $1 | Jan 26, 2025 |
Will the highest temperature in London be between 48°F and 49°F on January 26?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Jan 26, 2025 |
Will the AfD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.019 | $1 | Jan 25, 2025 |
Will ECB make no change in interest rates in January 2025?Yes | buy | 40.2 | $0.025 | $1 | Jan 25, 2025 |
2025 January hottest on record?No | buy | 37.04 | $0.027 | $1 | Jan 25, 2025 |
Will Trump list the Jalisco New Generation Cartel (CJNG) as a terrorist organization before April?No | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jan 25, 2025 |
Another state declare a state of emergency over bird flu before February?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.042 | $1 | Jan 24, 2025 |
DeepSeek banned in US before April?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jan 24, 2025 |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Jan 24, 2025 |
Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Jan 24, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | Jan 23, 2025 |