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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December?Yes | buy | 11.04 | $0.790 | $8.72 | Dec 17, 2024 |
|
| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.740 |
| $3.7 |
| Dec 6, 2024 |
 Will MicroStrategy hold 400k+ BTC before 2025?No | buy | 68.28 | $0.100 | $6.83 | Nov 25, 2024 |
 Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in 2024?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.930 | $9.3 | Nov 23, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "fake news" at debate?Yes | buy | 167.64 | $0.640 | $107.29 | Sep 10, 2024 |
 Will Kamala say "I'm speaking" at debate?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.230 | $2.3 | Sep 10, 2024 |
| Will Kamala say "convicted felon" at debate?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.560 | $5.6 | Sep 10, 2024 |
| Will Kamala say "Project 2025" at debate?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.850 | $8.5 | Sep 10, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "fake news" at debate?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.640 | $6.4 | Sep 10, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump say "fake news" during Michigan town hall?Yes | sell | 26.93 | $0.990 | $26.66 | Aug 30, 2024 |
 Will one SpaceX Starship launch successfully reach outer space in 2024?No | sell | 105 | $0.985 | $103.43 | Aug 29, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump say "fake news" during Michigan town hall?Yes | buy | 26.93 | $0.780 | $21.01 | Aug 29, 2024 |
 GOP wins popular vote by 7% or more?No | sell | 21.44 | $0.980 | $21.01 | Aug 29, 2024 |
 Will Lando Norris win the 2024 F1 season?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.248 | $24.8 | Aug 29, 2024 |
 Will Kamala's DNC speech has between 27m and 29m viewers?No | buy | 5 | $0.830 | $4.15 | Aug 23, 2024 |
| Will Kamala's DNC speech has between 25m and 27m viewers?No | buy | 5 | $0.890 | $4.45 | Aug 23, 2024 |
 Will Trump post "Border" 3 or more times on final night of DNC?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.950 | $190 | Aug 23, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris say "Joy" during DNC speech?Yes | sell | 9.99 | $0.810 | $8.09 | Aug 23, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris DNC speech 90 minutes or more?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.006 | $0.6 | Aug 23, 2024 |
 Will Walz say "Coach" at DNC speech?Yes | buy | 1.12K | $0.949 | $1.06K | Aug 22, 2024 |
| Will Walz say "Coach" at DNC speech?Yes | buy | 1.07K | $0.980 | $1.04K | Aug 22, 2024 |
| Will Walz say "Teacher" at DNC speech?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.980 | $196 | Aug 22, 2024 |
| Will Walz say "Coach" at DNC speech?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.820 | $164 | Aug 22, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris say "Not going back" during DNC speech?Yes | buy | 509.51 | $0.960 | $489.13 | Aug 21, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "tampon" during Wednesday speech?Yes | buy | 1.07K | $0.640 | $683.52 | Aug 21, 2024 |
 Will Obama say "Democracy" 3 or more times at DNC speech?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.910 | $91 | Aug 21, 2024 |
| Will Obama say "Obamacare" or "Affordable Care Act" at DNC speech?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.990 | $99 | Aug 21, 2024 |
| Will Obama say "Joe Biden" at DNC speech?Yes | sell | 562.33 | $0.999 | $561.77 | Aug 21, 2024 |
| Will Obama say "Thank you" 7 or more times at DNC speech?Yes | sell | 1.66K | $0.990 | $1.65K | Aug 21, 2024 |
| Will Obama say "Thank you" 7 or more times at DNC speech?Yes | sell | 110 | $0.760 | $83.6 | Aug 21, 2024 |
| Will Obama say "Thank you" 7 or more times at DNC speech?Yes | sell | 386.75 | $0.810 | $313.27 | Aug 21, 2024 |
| Will Obama say "Thank you" 7 or more times at DNC speech?Yes | buy | 967.61 | $0.800 | $774.09 | Aug 21, 2024 |
 Drag queen at DNC?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.100 | $0.5 | Aug 21, 2024 |
| Will Obama say "Thank you" 7 or more times at DNC speech?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.870 | $174 | Aug 21, 2024 |
| Will Obama say "Thank you" 7 or more times at DNC speech?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.850 | $38.25 | Aug 21, 2024 |
| Will Obama say "Thank you" 7 or more times at DNC speech?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.860 | $172 | Aug 21, 2024 |
| Will Obama say "Thank you" 7 or more times at DNC speech?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.850 | $255 | Aug 21, 2024 |
| Will Obama say "Thank you" 7 or more times at DNC speech?Yes | buy | 1.81K | $0.839 | $1.52K | Aug 20, 2024 |
| Will Obama say "Thank you" 7 or more times at DNC speech?Yes | buy | 9.58 | $0.820 | $7.86 | Aug 20, 2024 |
| Will Obama say "Thank you" 7 or more times at DNC speech?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.890 | $4.45 | Aug 20, 2024 |
| Will Obama say "Thank you" 7 or more times at DNC speech?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.880 | $4.4 | Aug 20, 2024 |
| Will Obama say "Thank you" 7 or more times at DNC speech?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.850 | $8.5 | Aug 20, 2024 |
| Will Obama say "Thank you" 7 or more times at DNC speech?Yes | buy | 18.88 | $0.840 | $15.86 | Aug 20, 2024 |
| Will Obama say "Thank you" 7 or more times at DNC speech?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.810 | $12.15 | Aug 20, 2024 |
| Will Obama say "Thank you" 7 or more times at DNC speech?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.790 | $7.9 | Aug 20, 2024 |
| Will Obama say "Thank you" 7 or more times at DNC speech?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.780 | $78 | Aug 20, 2024 |
| Will Walz say "J.D." or "Vance" at DNC speech?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.800 | $8 | Aug 20, 2024 |
| Will Obama say "Donald Trump" at DNC speech?No | sell | 254.02 | $0.050 | $12.7 | Aug 20, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris say "Donald" or "Trump" 5 or more times during DNC speech?Yes | buy | 167.96 | $0.710 | $119.25 | Aug 20, 2024 |
| Will Obama say "Thank you" 7 or more times at DNC speech?Yes | buy | 92.69 | $0.670 | $62.1 | Aug 20, 2024 |