Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 714.29 | $0.140 | $27.5 | -$72.5 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETUp | buy | 25.77 | $0.970 | $25 | Aug 12, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 71.23 |
| $0.140 |
| $13.57 |
| +$3.57 |
 Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 255.08 | $0.510 | $3.44 | -$126.56 |
| buy |
| 25.51 |
| $0.980 |
| $25 |
| Aug 12, 2026 |
| Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes | buy | 255.08 | $0.510 | $130 | Aug 12, 2026 |
 Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | buy | 224.75 | $0.044 | $10 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | sell | 185.94 | $0.094 | $17.48 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?Yes | sell | 166.26 | $0.250 | $41.58 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | sell | 557.84 | $0.224 | $124.98 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | buy | 266.67 | $0.075 | $20 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?Yes | buy | 166.26 | $0.601 | $100 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | buy | 477.12 | $0.210 | $100 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 107.41 | $0.931 | $100 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 116.27 | $0.996 | $115.8 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 116.28 | $0.860 | $100 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 259.26 | $0.140 | $36.3 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 68.97 | $0.290 | $20 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Yes | sell | 155.38 | $0.603 | $93.76 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by December 31?No | sell | 882.86 | $0.116 | $102.41 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | sell | 90.9 | $0.140 | $12.73 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will Amy Klobuchar win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | buy | 130.26 | $0.880 | $114.63 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 714.29 | $0.140 | $100 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 71.23 | $0.140 | $10 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Maduro mugshot released by January 16?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.220 | $10 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.110 | $10 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 U.S. strike on Nigeria by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 31.75 | $0.630 | $20 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 181.82 | $0.110 | $20 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by December 31?No | buy | 673.4 | $0.148 | $100 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by December 31?No | buy | 209.46 | $0.095 | $20 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.044 | $1 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 193.1 | $0.104 | $20 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 87.17 | $0.806 | $70.26 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 259.26 | $0.729 | $189 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 269.24 | $0.873 | $235.14 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 90.67 | $0.221 | $20 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?Yes | buy | 114.37 | $0.175 | $20 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 500.5 | $0.006 | $3 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 263.15 | $0.360 | $94.73 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 112.35 | $0.880 | $98.87 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 338.46 | $0.650 | $220 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 500.5 | $0.020 | $10 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?Yes | buy | 126.58 | $0.790 | $100 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will Aftyn Behn win TN-7 Special Election?Yes | buy | 222.22 | $0.090 | $20 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 155.38 | $0.644 | $100 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 263.16 | $0.380 | $100 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 112.36 | $0.890 | $100 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end by November 7?Yes | sell | 60.6 | $0.013 | $0.79 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?Yes | sell | 151.51 | $0.480 | $72.72 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will James Solomon win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?Yes | sell | 112.38 | $0.847 | $95.21 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will Abigail Spanberger win by 15-18%?Yes | sell | 131.75 | $0.837 | $110.27 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Will James Solomon win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?Yes | buy | 112.38 | $0.890 | $100 | Nov 6, 2025 |