Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ethereum dip to $3,600 October 13-19?No | buy | 700 | $0.540 | $378 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 500 |
| $0.560 |
| $280 |
| Oct 2, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $110,000 September 22-28?No | buy | 1.5K | $0.500 | $750 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?No | buy | 10.87 | $0.410 | $4.46 | Aug 27, 2025 |
 Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 25.26 | $0.995 | $25.14 | Feb 24, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 20, 2025 |
 Was Milei hacked?No | buy | 20.1 | $0.995 | $20 | Feb 15, 2025 |
 Trump declassifies JFK files in first week?No | buy | 10.04 | $0.996 | $10 | Feb 2, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 5.17 | $0.966 | $4.99 | Jan 13, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.18 | $0.966 | $5 | Jan 12, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December?No | buy | 700 | $0.610 | $427 | Dec 14, 2024 |
 MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment?No | buy | 350 | $0.890 | $311.5 | Dec 8, 2024 |
 Cavaliers vs. HornetsHornets | buy | 250 | $0.130 | $32.5 | Dec 7, 2024 |
 Will Manchester United vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?No | buy | 400 | $0.760 | $304 | Dec 7, 2024 |
 Will Crystal Palace win on 2024-12-07?No | buy | 400 | $0.820 | $328 | Dec 7, 2024 |
 Bitcoin above $98,000 on December 6?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.560 | $448 | Dec 6, 2024 |
 Will Bournemouth win on 2024-12-05?No | buy | 400 | $0.590 | $236 | Dec 5, 2024 |
 RASMR vs. ThreadguyRasmr | buy | 150 | $0.500 | $75 | Dec 2, 2024 |
 Chargers vs. FalconsChargers | buy | 100 | $0.530 | $53 | Dec 1, 2024 |
| Cardinals vs. VikingsCardinals | buy | 100 | $0.380 | $38 | Dec 1, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.740 | $592 | Dec 1, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.810 | $324 | Nov 12, 2024 |
| Knicks vs. 76ers76ers | buy | 250 | $0.440 | $110 | Nov 12, 2024 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?No | buy | 160 | $0.720 | $115.2 | Nov 8, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 170 | $0.110 | $18.7 | Nov 8, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?No | sell | 170 | $0.013 | $2.21 | Nov 7, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?No | buy | 100 | $0.030 | $3 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?No | buy | 140 | $0.316 | $44.24 | Nov 2, 2024 |
 Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the World Series?Yes | buy | 140 | $0.780 | $109.2 | Oct 28, 2024 |
| Knicks vs. CelticsKnicks | buy | 50 | $0.320 | $16 | Oct 22, 2024 |
 Senate control after 2024 election?Democrats | buy | 100 | $0.210 | $21 | Oct 17, 2024 |
 Will Trump launch a coin before the election?No | buy | 375 | $0.008 | $3 | Oct 17, 2024 |
| Will Trump launch a coin before the election?No | buy | 100 | $0.150 | $15 | Oct 15, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "border" 20 or more times during California rally on October 12?No | buy | 100 | $0.210 | $21 | Oct 12, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "hurricane" 3 or more times during Colorado rally on October 11?Yes | buy | 101.43 | $0.700 | $71 | Oct 11, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Border" 20 or more times during Pennsylvania rally on October 9?No | buy | 99.99 | $0.157 | $15.71 | Oct 9, 2024 |
 Will Ricardo Nunes win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.450 | $45 | Oct 6, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "border" 30 or more times during Pennsylvania rally?No | buy | 100 | $0.760 | $76 | Oct 5, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.480 | $48 | Oct 4, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?No | buy | 70 | $0.210 | $14.7 | Oct 4, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "China" 10 or more times during North Carolina town hall?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.480 | $48 | Oct 4, 2024 |
 Will the HBO documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.510 | $51 | Oct 4, 2024 |
 Will Trump tweet 30-39 times September 27-October 4?No | buy | 60 | $0.370 | $22.2 | Oct 3, 2024 |
| Bitcoin above $65,000 on October 4?No | buy | 69.94 | $0.609 | $42.6 | Oct 1, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.502 | $50.2 | Sep 29, 2024 |
 Will Natus Vincere win CS:GO BLAST Premier Fall Final 2024?No | buy | 70 | $0.620 | $43.4 | Sep 27, 2024 |
| Will Natus Vincere win CS:GO BLAST Premier Fall Final 2024?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.400 | $28 | Sep 27, 2024 |
 Will Frankfurt beat Viktoria Plzen?Yes | buy | 20.2 | $0.990 | $20 | Sep 26, 2024 |
 Will 'Dune: Part 2' gross most in 2024?No | buy | 30.03 | $0.999 | $30 | Sep 26, 2024 |
| Bitcoin above $63,000 on September 27?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.919 | $55.15 | Sep 26, 2024 |