Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | $0 |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 11:15PM-11:20PM ETUp | buy | 9.09 | $0.220 | $2 | 3d ago |
 |
| No |
| 5.07 |
| $0.987 |
| $4.94 |
| -$0.06 |
 Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026? | Yes | 4.62 | $0.650 | $3.25 | +$0.25 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 3.23 | $0.930 | $2.98 | -$0.02 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 17.86 | $0.280 | $2.77 | -$2.23 |
| Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 15, 2026? | Yes | 2.35 | $0.850 | $1.88 | -$0.12 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 15.48 | $0.452 | $0.19 | -$6.81 |
 Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 4.9 | $0.408 | $0.14 | -$1.86 |
| buy |
| 2.35 |
| $0.850 |
| $2 |
| 3d ago |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?No | buy | 5.07 | $0.987 | $5 | 3d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 7.35 | $0.954 | $7.01 | 3d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.930 | $3 | 6d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | 6d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.22 | $0.978 | $10 | 15d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 3.11 | $0.964 | $3 | 15d ago |
 Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?Yes | sell | 26.31 | $0.002 | $0.05 | 15d ago |
| Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?Yes | buy | 4.62 | $0.650 | $3 | 26d ago |
 Trump out as President by August 31?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.996 | $5 | 26d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.14 | $0.973 | $5 | 26d ago |
 Iran successfully targets shipping on August 16, 2026?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | 26d ago |
 IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.995 | $5 | 26d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.930 | $3 | 27d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | buy | 10.03 | $0.997 | $10 | 27d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | 28d ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15?No | buy | 3.07 | $0.976 | $3 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?Yes | buy | 2.11 | $0.950 | $2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 7.6 | $0.658 | $5 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?Yes | buy | 5.21 | $0.960 | $5 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 10.33 | $0.968 | $10 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - July 22, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETUp | buy | 2.04 | $0.980 | $2 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETUp | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?Yes | buy | 4.62 | $0.650 | $3 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 2:35AM-2:40AM ETDown | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 2:35AM-2:40AM ETUp | buy | 3.7 | $0.540 | $2 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Solana Up or Down - July 21, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETUp | buy | 5.21 | $0.960 | $5 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETUp | buy | 6.59 | $0.910 | $6 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETUp | buy | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.038 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Iran invades Kuwait by July 31?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.014 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.550 | $10 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?Yes | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?Yes | buy | 3.19 | $0.940 | $3 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 20?Yes | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 20?Yes | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?Yes | buy | 2.9 | $0.690 | $2 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - July 20, 12:45AM-12:50AM ETDown | buy | 2.27 | $0.880 | $2 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - July 20, 12:45AM-12:50AM ETUp | buy | 2.7 | $0.740 | $2 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 20, 12:45AM-12:50AM ETUp | buy | 2.35 | $0.850 | $2 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 12:45AM-12:50AM ETDown | buy | 2.86 | $0.700 | $2 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 20?Yes | buy | 3.26 | $0.920 | $3 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - July 19, 10:50PM-10:55PM ETDown | buy | 8.25 | $0.970 | $8 | Jul 20, 2026 |