Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026? | No | 20 | $0.860 | $12.3 | -$4.9 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?No | sell | 1.53 | $0.650 | $0.99 | 24d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 40 |
| $0.315 |
| $6.98 |
| -$5.62 |
 Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | No | 20 | $0.310 | $4.9 | -$1.3 |
 Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.6% and 2.8%? | Yes | 40 | $0.415 | $0.42 | -$16.18 |
| Will Juan Pablo Ledezma be arrested in 2026? | Yes | 0.69 | $0.200 | $0.35 | +$0.21 |
| sell |
| 16.89 |
| $0.072 |
| $1.22 |
| 24d ago |
 Will no listed leader be out before 2027?No | sell | 4.98 | $0.660 | $3.29 | 24d ago |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.620 | $31 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.610 | $9.15 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?No | buy | 45.5 | $0.100 | $4.55 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?No | buy | 45.5 | $0.100 | $4.55 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.134 | $13.43 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 14.62 | $0.877 | $12.82 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | sell | 135 | $0.500 | $67.5 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No | sell | 100 | $0.670 | $67 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.680 | $34 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No | sell | 50 | $0.350 | $17.5 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.310 | $15.5 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 20?Yes | sell | 19.99 | $0.690 | $13.79 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.380 | $19 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.700 | $14 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No | sell | 40 | $0.917 | $36.67 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will France win Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.102 | $5.12 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.090 | $4.5 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?Yes | sell | 49.99 | $0.840 | $41.99 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Raja Krishnamoorthi be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.460 | $11.5 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?Yes | sell | 91 | $0.530 | $48.23 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 199.97 | $0.141 | $28.12 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.130 | $6.5 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by March 31?No | sell | 50 | $0.890 | $44.5 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by March 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.880 | $88 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will "War Machine" be the top global Netflix movie this week?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.960 | $48 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 46m and 50m?No | sell | 30 | $0.770 | $23.1 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | sell | 240 | $0.977 | $234.47 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?Yes | sell | 49.99 | $0.110 | $5.5 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Macron out by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 12.72 | $0.035 | $0.45 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.967 | $48.35 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?No | sell | 20 | $0.650 | $13 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 59.99 | $0.066 | $3.96 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 40 | $0.586 | $23.44 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.036 | $5.4 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will Bill Clinton say "Plane" during his Epstein testimony?No | sell | 60 | $0.976 | $58.56 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 50.03 | $0.930 | $46.54 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 20 | $0.064 | $1.28 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by April 30?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.600 | $12 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 60 | $0.660 | $39.6 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez applaud during Trump's State of the Union?No | sell | 60 | $0.890 | $53.4 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will John Fetterman applaud during Trump's State of the Union?No | sell | 38.43 | $0.170 | $6.53 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will Ilhan Omar applaud during Trump's State of the Union?Yes | sell | 53.32 | $0.190 | $10.13 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Mike Kennealy win the 2026 Massachusetts Governor Republican primary election?No | sell | 20 | $0.853 | $17.06 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.340 | $34 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?Yes | sell | 149.25 | $0.150 | $22.39 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.680 | $68 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released on February 26, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.983 | $19.66 | Feb 13, 2026 |