Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.037 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 7.09 |
| $0.141 |
| $1 |
| Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in December?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in December?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.520 | $2 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.110 | $2 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 12?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 13?No | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 14?No | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?No | buy | 38.05 | $0.026 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.024 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will Keir Starmer say "Infrastructure" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?Yes | buy | 5.71 | $0.350 | $2 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Will Keir Starmer say "Austerity" or "Spending Cut" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Will Keir Starmer say "Police" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Will Keir Starmer say "Crisis" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Will Keir Starmer say "Police" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Will Keir Starmer say "United Kingdom" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Biden" 4+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Suit" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?Yes | sell | 14.52 | $0.170 | $2.47 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 42.11 | $0.095 | $4 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?Yes | buy | 14.52 | $0.207 | $3 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together by August 31?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.070 | $2 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia"?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "United Kingdom"?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea"?Yes | buy | 16.81 | $0.119 | $2 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan"?Yes | buy | 12.35 | $0.162 | $2 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in August?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in August?Yes | buy | 18.87 | $0.053 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.420 | $2 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Paetongtarn Shinawatra out as PM of Thailand by August 31?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Will Thailand capture Preah Vihear temple by July 31?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.027 | $1 | Jul 25, 2025 |
 Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 3.51 | $0.285 | $1 | Jul 5, 2025 |
 Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 4.65 | $0.430 | $2 | Jul 5, 2025 |
 Will Diddy be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?Yes | buy | 17.72 | $0.056 | $1 | Jul 5, 2025 |
 Will Diddy be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.180 | $2 | Jul 5, 2025 |
 Israel x Syria security deal before September?Yes | sell | 9.67 | $0.540 | $5.22 | Jun 29, 2025 |
| Israel x Syria security deal before September?Yes | buy | 9.68 | $0.310 | $3 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 6.98 | $0.430 | $3 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.260 | $2 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.360 | $6 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before August?No | buy | 8.82 | $0.340 | $3 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before August?No | sell | 10 | $0.310 | $3.1 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran by Sunday?Yes | sell | 21.42 | $0.200 | $4.28 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump announce military actions against Iran by Friday?Yes | sell | 26.31 | $0.042 | $1.11 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump announce military actions against Iran by Friday?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.038 | $1 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran by Sunday?Yes | buy | 21.43 | $0.140 | $3 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before August?No | buy | 10 | $0.400 | $4 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before July?No | sell | 33.05 | $0.608 | $20.09 | Jun 20, 2025 |