Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 112.65 | $0.840 | $105.33 | +$10.7 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 43.25 | $0.948 | $41 | 18d ago |
|
| No |
| 45.61 |
| $0.880 |
| $43.1 |
| +$2.96 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 43.25 | $0.948 | $41.5 | +$0.5 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 4.02 | $0.945 | $3.83 | +$0.03 |
 Modi out by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.19 | $0.913 | $2.06 | +$0.06 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31? | No | 1.69 | $0.840 | $1.36 | -$0.06 |
| sell |
| 45.59 |
| $0.910 |
| $41.49 |
| 18d ago |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 4.02 | $0.945 | $3.8 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 US x China Military clash before 2027?No | sell | 3.53 | $0.965 | $3.41 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.19 | $0.913 | $2 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3AM ETUp | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETUp | sell | 2.98 | $0.770 | $2.29 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETUp | buy | 2.99 | $0.670 | $2 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 3.75 | $0.800 | $3 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 6.86 | $0.920 | $6.31 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?No | buy | 1.69 | $0.840 | $1.42 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Starmer out by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.43 | $0.993 | $1.42 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Starmer out by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.950 | $1.36 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 1.57 | $0.810 | $1.27 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETUp | buy | 1.33 | $0.720 | $0.96 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.22 | $0.982 | $1.2 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will HSBC fail by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.09 | $0.982 | $1.07 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| US x China Military clash before 2027?No | buy | 3.54 | $0.910 | $3.22 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 3.23 | $0.995 | $3.21 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.983 | $3.18 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?No | buy | 3.18 | $0.986 | $3.14 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Starmer out by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 3.14 | $0.996 | $3.13 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.982 | $3.07 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 3.12 | $0.985 | $3.07 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 98.06 | $0.880 | $86.29 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31?No | sell | 88.77 | $0.972 | $86.28 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Will JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.968 | $1.19 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Another US bank failure by March 31?Yes | sell | 4.76 | $0.250 | $1.19 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will HSBC fail by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.961 | $1.05 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.999 | $1.05 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Another US bank failure by March 31?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| US bank failure by January 31?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.988 | $5.04 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31?No | buy | 38.92 | $0.970 | $37.75 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 2.06 | $0.973 | $2 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.993 | $5 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.990 | $9.9 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.12 | $0.961 | $3 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31?No | buy | 17.53 | $0.974 | $17.07 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 112.65 | $0.840 | $94.63 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?No | sell | 5.11 | $0.995 | $5.08 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 19.22 | $0.995 | $19.12 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Trump out as President in 2025?No | sell | 70.92 | $0.993 | $70.42 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Trump out as President by March 31?No | buy | 32.33 | $0.948 | $30.65 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Trump out as President in 2025?No | buy | 70.92 | $0.987 | $70 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Trump Crypto Pardon ParlayNo | buy | 2.08 | $0.960 | $2 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will CZ return to Binance by December 31?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.986 | $2 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 5.12 | $0.976 | $5 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will Base launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 5.11 | $0.979 | $5 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 19.22 | $0.978 | $18.8 | Nov 13, 2025 |