Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 206.59 | $0.820 | $191.81 | +$22.41 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 20 | $0.890 | $17.8 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 56.82 |
| $0.880 |
| $54.64 |
| +$4.63 |
 Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? | No | 43.9 | $0.820 | $40.17 | +$4.17 |
 Will US annex any territory in 2026? | No | 36.59 | $0.820 | $34.7 | +$4.7 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 32.97 | $0.910 | $31.73 | +$1.73 |
 US x China Military clash before 2027? | Yes | 17 | $0.096 | $0.78 | -$0.86 |
| buy |
| 33.33 |
| $0.900 |
| $30 |
| Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 56.82 | $0.880 | $50 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 240.38 | $0.120 | $28.85 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 60.98 | $0.820 | $50 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump be impeached by June 30?No | buy | 53.19 | $0.940 | $50 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 40 | $0.750 | $30 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | sell | 108.69 | $0.997 | $108.36 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 108.7 | $0.920 | $100 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?No | buy | 43.9 | $0.820 | $36 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 32.97 | $0.910 | $30 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will US annex any territory in 2026?No | buy | 36.59 | $0.820 | $30 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 US civil war before 2027?No | buy | 108.99 | $0.890 | $97 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 133.91 | $0.941 | $126 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 80 | $0.800 | $64 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| US x China Military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 490 | $0.066 | $32.46 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 26.78 | $0.130 | $3.48 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.130 | $16.25 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 875 | $0.120 | $105 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 1.12K | $0.130 | $145 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 113.63 | $0.870 | $98.86 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 286.59 | $0.820 | $235 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 155 | $0.180 | $27.9 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.140 | $14 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| US x China Military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.05K | $0.065 | $68.6 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 51.79 | $0.140 | $7.25 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 155 | $0.200 | $31 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 106.38 | $0.940 | $100 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 113.64 | $0.880 | $100 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| US x China Military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.56K | $0.096 | $150 | Jan 25, 2026 |