Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.090 | $0.99 | Jul 23, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 19 |
| $0.080 |
| $1.52 |
| Jul 19, 2025 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.130 | $1.17 | Jul 19, 2025 |
 US forces in Iran before August?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.006 | $0.6 | Jul 19, 2025 |
| US forces in Iran before August?Yes | sell | 241 | $0.007 | $1.69 | Jul 11, 2025 |
| US forces in Iran before August?Yes | sell | 158.98 | $0.010 | $1.59 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?No | sell | 100 | $0.007 | $0.7 | Jun 27, 2025 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?No | buy | 130 | $0.008 | $1.04 | Jun 27, 2025 |
| US forces in Iran before August?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.029 | $2.9 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| China x Taiwan military clash by June 30?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.003 | $0.9 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?No | sell | 10 | $0.260 | $2.6 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.170 | $1.7 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.028 | $1.41 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?No | buy | 5 | $0.330 | $1.65 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?No | sell | 200 | $0.009 | $1.8 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?No | buy | 13 | $0.083 | $1.08 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Trump out as President before GTA VI?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.150 | $0.75 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.140 | $2.1 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.008 | $0.32 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.280 | $1.4 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.320 | $1.6 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before August?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.600 | $6 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 Major cyberattack on Iran in June?No | buy | 41.67 | $0.024 | $1 | Jun 19, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before July?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.631 | $3.16 | Jun 19, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before August?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.720 | $7.2 | Jun 19, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before August?Yes | sell | 28 | $0.720 | $20.16 | Jun 19, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.654 | $3.27 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before August?Yes | buy | 3.17 | $0.630 | $2 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before August?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.120 | $1.44 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran before August?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.086 | $0.43 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.661 | $1.98 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.648 | $3.24 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before August?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.740 | $3.7 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.034 | $1.7 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.459 | $3.67 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before August?Yes | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before August?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.450 | $5 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.025 | $1 | Jun 15, 2025 |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran before August?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | Jun 15, 2025 |
| China x Taiwan military clash by June 30?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.017 | $1 | Jun 14, 2025 |
 Iran strike on Israel by Friday?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jun 13, 2025 |
| Iran strike on Israel in June?No | buy | 18.18 | $0.055 | $1 | Jun 13, 2025 |
| Iran strike on Israel in June?No | buy | 13.42 | $0.149 | $2 | Jun 13, 2025 |
| Iran strike on Israel by Friday?No | buy | 4.22 | $0.474 | $2 | Jun 13, 2025 |
| Iran strike on Israel by Monday?No | buy | 15.27 | $0.262 | $4 | Jun 13, 2025 |
| Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.051 | $5.1 | Apr 22, 2025 |
| China x Taiwan military clash by June 30?Yes | buy | 73.5 | $0.063 | $4.62 | Apr 21, 2025 |