Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 105 | $0.959 | $100.7 | Jun 22, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 105 |
| $0.800 |
| $84 |
| Jun 9, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 105.04 | $0.476 | $50 | Jun 9, 2026 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?No | buy | 125 | $0.400 | $50 | Jun 9, 2026 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No | buy | 178.57 | $0.560 | $100 | Jun 9, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 119.05 | $0.840 | $100 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 62.5 | $0.550 | $34.38 | Jun 5, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 270.27 | $0.590 | $159.46 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 161.29 | $0.840 | $135.48 | Jun 4, 2026 |
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 68.08 | $0.810 | $55.14 | Jun 2, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 159.68 | $0.620 | $99 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?No | buy | 93.21 | $0.429 | $40 | Jun 1, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 138.34 | $0.999 | $138.2 | Jun 1, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 270.27 | $0.370 | $100 | May 28, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 250 | $0.400 | $100 | May 28, 2026 |
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | sell | 76.92 | $0.920 | $70.77 | May 28, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 136.98 | $0.954 | $130.63 | May 28, 2026 |
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 68.09 | $0.470 | $32 | May 17, 2026 |
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 76.92 | $0.650 | $50 | May 17, 2026 |
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?Yes | buy | 504.51 | $0.020 | $10 | May 14, 2026 |
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?No | sell | 71.96 | $0.963 | $69.3 | May 14, 2026 |
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 71.97 | $0.721 | $51.89 | May 12, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 136.99 | $0.730 | $100 | May 12, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 161.29 | $0.620 | $100 | May 11, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?No | sell | 55.55 | $0.962 | $53.45 | May 11, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?No | sell | 80.64 | $0.950 | $76.61 | May 11, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No | sell | 126.49 | $0.966 | $122.19 | May 11, 2026 |
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?Yes | buy | 23.4 | $0.470 | $11 | May 9, 2026 |
Will Trump visit China by May 15?No | buy | 500 | $0.100 | $50 | May 9, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No | sell | 61.72 | $0.988 | $60.98 | May 9, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 16.39 | $0.610 | $10 | May 7, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 126.5 | $0.791 | $100 | May 7, 2026 |
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?No | sell | 113.63 | $0.981 | $111.47 | May 7, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.810 | $45 | May 4, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 121.95 | $0.820 | $100 | May 4, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?No | buy | 147.06 | $0.340 | $50 | May 3, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?No | buy | 294.12 | $0.170 | $50 | May 3, 2026 |
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?No | buy | 113.64 | $0.880 | $100 | May 3, 2026 |
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?No | buy | 158.73 | $0.630 | $100 | May 1, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | Apr 29, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.002 | $10 | Apr 29, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Iran" during King Charles visit?Yes | buy | 70.32 | $0.142 | $10 | Apr 29, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Keir" or "Starmer" during King Charles visit?Yes | buy | 51.01 | $0.196 | $10 | Apr 29, 2026 |
Will Trump say "NATO" during King Charles visit?Yes | buy | 71.35 | $0.140 | $10 | Apr 29, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?Yes | buy | 173.91 | $0.115 | $20 | Apr 29, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 80.65 | $0.620 | $50 | Apr 28, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?Yes | buy | 102.56 | $0.390 | $40 | Apr 28, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No | buy | 61.73 | $0.810 | $50 | Apr 28, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETUp | buy | 3.71 | $0.240 | $0.89 | Apr 24, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:20AM-4:25AM ETDown | buy | 14.41 | $0.060 | $0.86 | Apr 24, 2026 |