Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in September?Yes | buy | 2.43K | $0.173 | $420.59 | Sep 4, 2025 |
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| sell |
| 486.74 |
| $0.063 |
| $30.66 |
| Sep 4, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 453.4 | $0.860 | $389.92 | Sep 4, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 94.86 | $0.810 | $76.84 | Aug 22, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 591.11 | $0.130 | $76.84 | Aug 22, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 591.11 | $0.370 | $218.71 | Aug 21, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 358.53 | $0.610 | $218.7 | Aug 21, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 355.11 | $0.750 | $266.33 | Aug 15, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 486.74 | $0.041 | $20 | Aug 15, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 21.75 | $0.800 | $17.4 | Aug 13, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 133.87 | $0.130 | $17.4 | Aug 13, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 28.25 | $0.800 | $22.6 | Aug 12, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 40.54 | $0.740 | $30 | Aug 11, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 133.87 | $0.190 | $25.44 | Aug 6, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 147.05 | $0.074 | $10.88 | Aug 4, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 77.27 | $0.220 | $17 | Aug 4, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.700 | $70 | Aug 4, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 147.06 | $0.068 | $10 | Aug 4, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 190.48 | $0.210 | $40 | Aug 4, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 171.43 | $0.700 | $120 | Aug 4, 2025 |
Will Strategy purchase Bitcoin Feb Mar 11-17?No | buy | 11.66 | $0.800 | $9.33 | Mar 16, 2025 |
Will Strategy purchase Bitcoin Feb Mar 11-17?Yes | sell | 35.41 | $0.200 | $7.08 | Mar 16, 2025 |
GTA VI released in 2025?No | sell | 6.25 | $0.360 | $2.25 | Mar 15, 2025 |
Will Strategy purchase Bitcoin Feb Mar 11-17?Yes | buy | 35.42 | $0.480 | $17 | Mar 14, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $83000 on Mar 14?No | sell | 17.02 | $0.999 | $17 | Mar 14, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $83000 on Mar 14?No | buy | 17.02 | $0.470 | $8 | Mar 14, 2025 |
GTA VI released in 2025?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.320 | $2 | Mar 10, 2025 |
Will Jerome Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the March meeting?Yes | buy | 10.64 | $0.470 | $5 | Mar 10, 2025 |
Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and FDP form the next German Government?No | sell | 6.82 | $0.999 | $6.81 | Mar 10, 2025 |
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | sell | 11.76 | $0.290 | $3.41 | Mar 10, 2025 |
FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?No | sell | 7.46 | $0.640 | $4.77 | Feb 17, 2025 |
Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and FDP form the next German Government?No | buy | 6.83 | $0.895 | $6.11 | Jan 31, 2025 |
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.170 | $2 | Jan 27, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet less than 250 times Jan 24-31?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Jan 27, 2025 |
FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?No | buy | 7.46 | $0.670 | $5 | Jan 27, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by January 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 470.19 | $0.030 | $14.11 | Jan 27, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by January 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 114.81 | $0.270 | $31 | Jan 21, 2025 |
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.620 | $31 | Jan 21, 2025 |
Will Trump issue 40 or more executive orders on Day 1?Yes | buy | 29.44 | $0.720 | $21.2 | Jan 20, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by January 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 240 | $0.250 | $60 | Jan 20, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by January 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 34.48 | $0.820 | $28.27 | Jan 17, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 58.34 | $0.530 | $30.92 | Jan 17, 2025 |
Bitcoin above $97,000 on January 10?Yes | buy | 335.08 | $0.063 | $21.11 | Jan 10, 2025 |
Fact Check: Is Luigi Mangione gay?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.130 | $16.25 | Jan 10, 2025 |
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | sell | 58.13 | $0.084 | $4.86 | Jan 9, 2025 |
MicroStrategy purchases more Bitcoin before inauguration?Yes | buy | 22.01 | $0.862 | $18.96 | Jan 8, 2025 |
Bitcoin above $97,000 on January 10?Yes | buy | 102.56 | $0.390 | $40 | Jan 8, 2025 |
Bitcoin above $97,000 on January 10?No | sell | 46.51 | $0.610 | $28.37 | Jan 8, 2025 |
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 58.14 | $0.086 | $5 | Jan 7, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by January 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.580 | $20 | Jan 7, 2025 |