Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 39.99 | $0.705 | $28.19 | $0 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | 4h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 20 |
| $0.420 |
| $7.4 |
| -$1 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.400 | $5.9 | -$2.1 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? | Yes | 4.1 | $0.680 | $3.02 | +$0.23 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | Yes | 5 | $0.480 | $2.38 | -$0.03 |
 Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.32 | $0.510 | $2.16 | +$0.46 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | No | 4.68 | $0.472 | $1.87 | -$0.34 |
 Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | Yes | 4.99 | $0.390 | $1.45 | -$0.5 |
 Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | No | 2 | $0.390 | $1.35 | +$0.57 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | Yes | 3.62 | $0.450 | $0.99 | -$0.63 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the LA-06 House seat? | Yes | 10 | $0.325 | $0.65 | -$2.6 |
 Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats? | No | 2.44 | $0.610 | $0.63 | -$0.85 |
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 1.63 | $0.260 | $0.35 | -$0.07 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 1.05 | $0.290 | $0.23 | -$0.08 |
 Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? | Yes | 1.16 | $0.370 | $0.01 | -$0.42 |
| sell |
| 20 |
| $0.280 |
| $5.6 |
| 1d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.250 | $1.25 | 2d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.250 | $1.25 | 2d ago |
 Will Lacy and Marlon have between 4 and 5 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?No | sell | 20 | $0.213 | $4.26 | 2d ago |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.847 | $4.23 | 2d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.847 | $4.23 | 2d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.847 | $4.23 | 2d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.847 | $4.23 | 2d ago |
| Will Lacy and Marlon beat the gaming challenge by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?No | sell | 20 | $0.060 | $1.2 | 2d ago |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?No | sell | 20 | $0.510 | $10.2 | 2d ago |
| Will Lacy and Marlon have between 50 and 99 Warzone deaths during the marathon?No | sell | 20 | $0.260 | $5.2 | 3d ago |
| Will Lacy and Marlon have between 50 and 99 Warzone deaths during the marathon?No | sell | 20 | $0.270 | $5.4 | 3d ago |
| Will Lacy and Marlon beat the gaming challenge by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?No | sell | 20 | $0.280 | $5.6 | 3d ago |
 Will Lacy or Marlon die to a creeper again?No | sell | 20 | $0.160 | $3.2 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.250 | $1.25 | 4d ago |
 Will Drake release a new album by September 30?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.184 | $3.68 | 4d ago |
 Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.340 | $1.7 | 4d ago |
 Lindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.110 | $2.2 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.780 | $3.9 | 5d ago |
 Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026?No | sell | 6.05 | $0.139 | $0.84 | 5d ago |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.360 | $1.8 | 5d ago |
| Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | 5d ago |
| Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.560 | $2.8 | 5d ago |
 Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 10 | $0.383 | $3.83 | 5d ago |
| Will Lacy and Marlon have between 50 and 99 Warzone deaths during the marathon?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.290 | $5.8 | 5d ago |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.420 | $2.1 | 5d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | sell | 20 | $0.540 | $10.8 | 5d ago |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?Yes | sell | 9.28 | $0.980 | $9.09 | 5d ago |
 Will Falcons Win the BLAST Open Porto 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.840 | $4.2 | 5d ago |
 Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.630 | $3.15 | 5d ago |
| Will Lacy and Marlon have between 100 and 149 Warzone deaths during the marathon?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.190 | $3.8 | 6d ago |
 Will Lacy or Marlon die to an enderman?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.310 | $6.2 | 6d ago |
| Will Lacy and Marlon have fewer than 100 Fortnite deaths during the marathon?No | sell | 20 | $0.060 | $1.2 | 6d ago |
| Will Lacy and Marlon have between 50 and 99 Warzone deaths during the marathon?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.430 | $8.6 | 6d ago |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.162 | $0.81 | 6d ago |
 Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?No | sell | 5 | $0.340 | $1.7 | 6d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 5 | $0.700 | $3.5 | 6d ago |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?No | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | 6d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.140 | $2.1 | 7d ago |
| Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 5 | $0.520 | $2.6 | 7d ago |
| Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 5 | $0.520 | $2.6 | 7d ago |
| Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.480 | $2.4 | 7d ago |
 Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?No | sell | 15 | $0.047 | $0.71 | 8d ago |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 1?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.430 | $2.15 | 8d ago |
 Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?No | sell | 20.81 | $0.041 | $0.85 | 8d ago |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 17.71 | $0.036 | $0.64 | 8d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.219 | $0.23 | 9d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.219 | $1.1 | 9d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?Yes | sell | 9.36 | $0.230 | $2.15 | 10d ago |