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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 158.1 | $0.830 | $146.25 | +$14.97 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran full airspace closure by July 31?No | buy | 2.42 | $0.720 | $1.74 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 106.12 |
| $0.380 |
| $87.55 |
| +$47.18 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | No | 77.2 | $0.859 | $64.46 | -$1.85 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 79.04 | $0.594 | $39.92 | -$7 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 37.41 | $0.751 | $34.98 | +$6.87 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 37.2 | $0.619 | $27.34 | +$4.3 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 46.97 | $0.518 | $27.01 | +$2.66 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | No | 26.67 | $0.750 | $24.27 | +$4.27 |
 Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | No | 26.72 | $0.678 | $24.18 | +$6.06 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 23.57 | $0.560 | $21.33 | +$8.13 |
 Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 19.53 | $0.860 | $18.92 | +$2.12 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | Yes | 20.19 | $0.800 | $18.68 | +$2.52 |
 Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | No | 19.85 | $0.802 | $18.56 | +$2.63 |
 Will Venezuela become 51st state? | No | 16.29 | $0.954 | $15.91 | +$0.37 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 15.99 | $0.942 | $15.42 | +$0.36 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 15.82 | $0.900 | $14.95 | +$0.71 |
 Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? | No | 19.11 | $0.606 | $12.99 | +$1.42 |
 Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? | No | 13 | $0.949 | $12.65 | +$0.31 |
 Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? | No | 12.82 | $0.570 | $11.35 | +$4.04 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 14.08 | $0.620 | $11.19 | +$2.46 |
 Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | No | 10.02 | $0.940 | $9.68 | +$0.26 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 11.45 | $0.580 | $9.62 | +$2.98 |
 Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? | No | 10.49 | $0.690 | $9.55 | +$2.31 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 9.69 | $0.869 | $9.21 | +$0.79 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | No | 10.52 | $0.670 | $9.21 | +$2.16 |
| sell |
| 1.91 |
| $0.831 |
| $1.59 |
| Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 13 | $0.949 | $12.34 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Yes | sell | 39.16 | $0.140 | $5.48 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Yes | sell | 14.29 | $0.150 | $2.14 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | sell | 5.51 | $0.880 | $4.85 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?No | buy | 1.55 | $0.760 | $1.18 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?Yes | sell | 38.8 | $0.029 | $1.13 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 13.69 | $0.490 | $6.71 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in July?No | buy | 6.01 | $0.870 | $5.23 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | sell | 8.21 | $0.890 | $7.31 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 8.26 | $0.121 | $1 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in July?No | buy | 3.55 | $0.880 | $3.12 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 8.26 | $0.121 | $1 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 16.03 | $0.121 | $1.94 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 8.26 | $0.121 | $1 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 8.26 | $0.121 | $1 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 8.26 | $0.121 | $1 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?Yes | sell | 52.23 | $0.030 | $1.57 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 31?No | buy | 2.97 | $0.920 | $2.73 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | sell | 20.68 | $0.880 | $18.2 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 10.66 | $0.290 | $3.09 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 18.22 | $0.500 | $9.11 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Mojtaba Khamenei in July?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Mojtaba Khamenei in July?No | buy | 3.24 | $0.995 | $3.22 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 24.25 | $0.760 | $18.43 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.062 | $1.86 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 16.95 | $0.059 | $1 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?Yes | sell | 3.04 | $0.070 | $0.21 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?Yes | sell | 26.92 | $0.070 | $1.88 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.19 | $0.931 | $4.83 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?Yes | sell | 41.98 | $0.070 | $2.94 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?Yes | buy | 33.45 | $0.110 | $3.68 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?Yes | buy | 28.39 | $0.180 | $5.11 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.049 | $1 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.049 | $1 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?Yes | buy | 11.89 | $0.350 | $4.16 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 24.41 | $0.310 | $7.57 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.39 | $0.300 | $0.42 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.98 | $0.290 | $0.86 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 23.09 | $0.530 | $12.24 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 23.57 | $0.560 | $13.2 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Yes | buy | 16.82 | $0.110 | $1.85 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jul 4, 2026 |