Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 2.46K | $0.655 | $455.1 | -$1.16K |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?Yes | buy | 505.05 | $0.990 | $500 | 12h ago |
| No |
| 50 |
| $0.720 |
| $48.35 |
| +$12.35 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 59.99 | $0.670 | $42.89 | +$2.7 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.476 | $26.75 | +$2.95 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.720 | $18.1 | +$3.7 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 17.54 | $0.570 | $16.4 | +$6.4 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.530 | $15.5 | +$4.9 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 200 | $0.190 | $13 | -$25 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | Yes | 799.98 | $0.430 | $12.8 | -$331.19 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 13.32 | $0.751 | $11.92 | +$1.92 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 20 | $0.630 | $11.3 | -$1.3 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | No | 10 | $0.890 | $9.77 | +$0.87 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? | No | 10 | $0.700 | $9.69 | +$2.69 |
 Amazon 2026 capex above $170B? | Yes | 10 | $0.984 | $9.51 | -$0.33 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 10 | $0.830 | $9.25 | +$0.95 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | No | 10 | $0.830 | $9.15 | +$0.85 |
 Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? | No | 13.89 | $0.720 | $8.68 | -$1.32 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 10 | $0.750 | $8.55 | +$1.05 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.450 | $7.1 | -$1.9 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 10 | $0.590 | $6.65 | +$0.75 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 10 | $0.328 | $4.13 | +$0.85 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 29.99 | $0.473 | $2.85 | -$11.35 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 11.11 | $0.090 | $2.08 | +$1.08 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 14.29 | $0.700 | $1.93 | -$8.07 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1.33 | +$0.33 |
Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?Yes| buy |
| 1.02K |
| $0.490 |
| $500 |
| 12h ago |
| Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 31-September 6?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.980 | $4.9 | 12h ago |
 Will China’s CPI increase by at least 0.9% over the 12 month period ending in August 2026?No | buy | 100.42 | $0.996 | $99.99 | 23h ago |
| Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?Yes | buy | 1.46 | $0.700 | $1.02 | 1d ago |
| Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?Yes | buy | 64.16 | $0.016 | $1.02 | 1d ago |
| Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 31-September 6?Yes | buy | 8.5 | $0.120 | $1.02 | 1d ago |
| Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 31-September 6?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.280 | $14 | 1d ago |
| Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 31-September 6?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.120 | $6 | 1d ago |
| Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.680 | $6.8 | 1d ago |
 Will the US lose more than 50k jobs in August?No | buy | 100.09 | $0.999 | $99.99 | 5d ago |
| Will the US lose between 0 and 50k jobs in August?No | buy | 36.07 | $0.998 | $36.01 | 5d ago |
| Will the US add at least 150k jobs in August?Yes | buy | 101 | $0.990 | $99.99 | 5d ago |
| Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in August?No | buy | 97.92 | $0.999 | $97.82 | 5d ago |
| Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in August?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.950 | $1.01 | 5d ago |
| Will the US add at least 150k jobs in August?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.950 | $1.01 | 5d ago |
| Will the US lose more than 50k jobs in August?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.916 | $1.01 | 5d ago |
| Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in August?No | buy | 1.4 | $0.720 | $1.01 | 5d ago |
 Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?No | buy | 1.42 | $0.710 | $1.01 | 5d ago |
| Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.5%?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.999 | $1.01 | 5d ago |
| Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in August?No | buy | 1.55 | $0.650 | $1.01 | 5d ago |
| Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be ≤3.8%?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.997 | $1.01 | 5d ago |
| Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.999 | $1.01 | 5d ago |
| Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.0%?No | buy | 1.17 | $0.860 | $1.01 | 5d ago |
| Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.890 | $1.01 | 5d ago |
| Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 3.9%?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.982 | $1.01 | 5d ago |
| Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be ≥4.6%?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.999 | $1.01 | 5d ago |
| Will the US lose between 0 and 50k jobs in August?Yes | buy | 5.21 | $0.194 | $1.01 | 5d ago |
| Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?Yes | buy | 2.4 | $0.420 | $1.01 | 5d ago |
 Will Broadcom (AVGO) Q3 AI revenue be above $19B?No | buy | 42.75 | $0.986 | $42.16 | 7d ago |
| Will Broadcom (AVGO) Q3 AI revenue be above $18B?No | buy | 42.05 | $0.985 | $41.41 | 7d ago |
 Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?No | buy | 100.8 | $0.992 | $99.99 | 7d ago |
| Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 24-August 30?Yes | buy | 520.57 | $0.960 | $500 | 7d ago |
| Will 180-199 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 24-August 30?Yes | buy | 128.04 | $0.990 | $126.76 | 7d ago |
| Will 180-199 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 24-August 30?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | 7d ago |
| Will 160-179 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 24-August 30?Yes | buy | 29.63 | $0.217 | $6.42 | 7d ago |
 Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the September decision?Yes | buy | 188.6 | $0.007 | $1.32 | 8d ago |
| Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 24-August 30?Yes | buy | 22.04 | $0.012 | $0.26 | 8d ago |
| Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 24-August 30?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.765 | $7.65 | 8d ago |
| Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 24-August 30?Yes | buy | 62.54 | $0.016 | $1 | 8d ago |
 Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the September interest rate announcement?Yes | buy | 306.2 | $0.003 | $0.91 | 8d ago |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the September interest rate announcement?Yes | buy | 450.67 | $0.002 | $1 | 8d ago |
 Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?Yes | buy | 61.18 | $0.988 | $60.47 | 8d ago |
| Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 101 | $0.990 | $99.99 | 8d ago |
| Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?No | buy | 60.04 | $0.973 | $58.44 | 8d ago |
| Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting?No | buy | 61.85 | $0.990 | $61.23 | 8d ago |
| Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 24-August 30?Yes | buy | 136.56 | $0.008 | $1.07 | 8d ago |
| Will 160-179 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 24-August 30?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.569 | $8.54 | 8d ago |
| Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 24-August 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.750 | $7.5 | 8d ago |
 Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?No | buy | 100.32 | $0.997 | $99.99 | 8d ago |