Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 1.7K | $0.648 | $1.58K | +$477.72 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 1.72K | $0.029 | $50 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 345.29 |
| $0.520 |
| $253.79 |
| +$74.24 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Yes | 1.24K | $0.290 | $124.49 | -$237.06 |
 Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026? | Yes | 224.22 | $0.540 | $108.75 | -$12.33 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 1.64K | $0.183 | $106.43 | -$193.57 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | Yes | 475.65 | $0.399 | $83.24 | -$106.76 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | Yes | 1.53K | $0.140 | $68.82 | -$145.18 |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.72K | $0.029 | $40.52 | -$9.48 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | Yes | 299.16 | $0.227 | $37.4 | -$30.46 |
 Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? | Yes | 110.96 | $0.441 | $34.95 | -$13.94 |
 Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 542.3 | $0.118 | $29.83 | -$34.17 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Yes | 101.33 | $0.153 | $7.6 | -$7.9 |
 Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31? | Yes | 50.1 | $0.210 | $7.01 | -$3.51 |
| sell |
| 226.24 |
| $0.238 |
| $53.85 |
| Jun 20, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 345.29 | $0.520 | $179.55 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Yes | buy | 475.65 | $0.399 | $190 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.18K | $0.212 | $250 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.12K | $0.330 | $700 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.15K | $0.620 | $710 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 675.67 | $0.999 | $674.99 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.4K | $0.430 | $600 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.665 | $1K | May 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.67K | $0.600 | $1K | May 28, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 2.78K | $0.539 | $1.5K | May 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 405.56 | $0.540 | $219 | May 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No | buy | 819.67 | $0.610 | $500 | May 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 675.68 | $0.740 | $500 | May 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 2.57K | $0.450 | $1.15K | May 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 48.09 | $0.470 | $22.6 | May 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 211.51 | $0.473 | $100 | May 23, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.190 | $0.95 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 833.33 | $0.180 | $150 | May 15, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | buy | 651.88 | $0.307 | $200 | May 15, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | buy | 153.57 | $0.280 | $43 | May 14, 2026 |
 US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 33.64 | $0.997 | $33.54 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?Yes | buy | 94.34 | $0.530 | $50 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.560 | $5.6 | May 13, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | buy | 444.44 | $0.270 | $120 | May 12, 2026 |
| US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.49 | $0.340 | $3.91 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 277.78 | $0.180 | $50 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 193.55 | $0.620 | $120 | May 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 405.41 | $0.370 | $150 | May 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.74K | $0.479 | $831 | May 7, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 335.05 | $0.588 | $196.85 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 526.32 | $0.190 | $100 | May 5, 2026 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 101.33 | $0.153 | $15.5 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.140 | $14 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 110.99 | $0.126 | $14 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?Yes | sell | 47 | $0.941 | $44.21 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 917 | $0.310 | $284.27 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 573.38 | $0.349 | $200 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.43K | $0.140 | $200 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 303.03 | $0.330 | $100 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 544.23 | $0.930 | $506.13 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.65K | $0.320 | $528.51 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 544.23 | $0.930 | $506.13 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?Yes | buy | 50.1 | $0.210 | $10.52 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 171.89 | $0.230 | $39.53 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 226.24 | $0.221 | $50 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 431.32 | $0.116 | $50 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.070 | $2.8 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 280 | $0.890 | $249.2 | Apr 12, 2026 |