Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 11.08 | $0.730 | $8.09 | Aug 4, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 51.7 |
| $0.151 |
| $7.79 |
| Aug 4, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 53.04 | $0.230 | $12.2 | Jul 22, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in July?Yes | sell | 67.92 | $0.100 | $6.79 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | sell | 53.94 | $0.450 | $24.27 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in July?Yes | buy | 67.93 | $0.280 | $19.02 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?Yes | buy | 37.34 | $0.054 | $2 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Israel military action against Iran in July?Yes | buy | 43.53 | $0.170 | $7.4 | Jul 9, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?No | buy | 36.31 | $0.149 | $5.4 | Jul 9, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | buy | 53.95 | $0.378 | $20.4 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Another GTA VI trailer released in 2025?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before August?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.029 | $1 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Yoon arrested before September?No | buy | 9.8K | $0.001 | $9.8 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Bezos divorce in 2025?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Yoon in jail before August?No | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Jul 9, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.240 | $3 | Jul 4, 2025 |
 Klarna IPO in 2025?No | buy | 17.27 | $0.220 | $3.8 | Jul 4, 2025 |
 Will Joey Chestnut win Nathan's Famous Hot Dog 2025?No | buy | 327.5 | $0.040 | $13.1 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $110k first?100k | buy | 26.63 | $0.375 | $10 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Will Diddy be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.220 | $10 | Jul 4, 2025 |
 Will the ECB announce an increase at the July meeting?Yes | buy | 3.34K | $0.003 | $10 | Jul 4, 2025 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?Yes | buy | 52.86 | $0.070 | $3.7 | Jul 4, 2025 |
 Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?Yes | buy | 31.74 | $0.230 | $7.3 | Jul 4, 2025 |
 Will Trump visit China before September?Yes | buy | 43.64 | $0.110 | $4.8 | Jul 4, 2025 |
 US-EU trade agreement by July 9?No | buy | 11.49 | $0.670 | $7.7 | Jul 4, 2025 |
 Iranian hackers release Trump emails by next Friday?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.130 | $1.3 | Jul 4, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?Yes | buy | 8.7 | $0.230 | $2 | Jul 4, 2025 |
 Will Alibaba have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.002 | $3 | Jul 4, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 16.8 | $0.238 | $4 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $105K and $107K on July 4?Yes | buy | 6K | $0.001 | $6 | Jul 4, 2025 |
 Interstellar object confirmed aliens?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.060 | $4 | Jul 4, 2025 |
 Pepe ETF in 2025?Yes | buy | 7.12 | $0.170 | $1.21 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.006 | $2 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7?Yes | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| US recession in 2025?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will Diddy be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Jul 3, 2025 |