Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | Yes | 454.55 | $0.110 | $75 | +$25 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 128.21 | $0.390 | $50 | 50m ago |
 |
| No |
| 205.23 |
| $0.320 |
| $72.86 |
| +$7.18 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 128.21 | $0.390 | $59.62 | +$9.62 |
 Will Margo Martin be the next White House Press Secretary? | No | 56.18 | $0.890 | $55.08 | +$5.08 |
 Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 185.19 | $0.270 | $54.63 | +$4.63 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | No | 333.33 | $0.150 | $48.33 | -$1.67 |
 Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 200 | $0.250 | $46 | -$4 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 161.29 | $0.310 | $45.97 | -$4.03 |
 Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026? | Yes | 454.55 | $0.110 | $45.46 | -$4.54 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes | 217.39 | $0.230 | $44.56 | -$5.43 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | Yes | 454.55 | $0.110 | $43.18 | -$6.82 |
 Will Solomon Olamilekan Adeola win the 2027 Ogun State gubernatorial election? | No | 168.27 | $0.260 | $39.54 | -$4.21 |
 Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | Yes | 208.33 | $0.240 | $36.46 | -$13.54 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | Yes | 238.93 | $0.136 | $27 | -$5.48 |
 Will Alia Hyacinth Iormem win the 2027 Benue State gubernatorial election? | No | 60 | $0.410 | $26.7 | +$2.1 |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | Yes | 192.31 | $0.130 | $18.27 | -$6.73 |
| buy |
| 333.33 |
| $0.150 |
| $50 |
| 1d ago |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Yes | sell | 312.76 | $0.133 | $41.6 | 9d ago |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.134 | $4.02 | 9d ago |
| Will Margo Martin be the next White House Press Secretary?No | buy | 56.18 | $0.890 | $50 | 9d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes | sell | 416.67 | $0.170 | $70.83 | 9d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 113.64 | $0.180 | $20.46 | 9d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 113.64 | $0.220 | $25 | 10d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30?Yes | buy | 192.31 | $0.130 | $25 | 10d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | sell | 416.67 | $0.070 | $29.17 | 10d ago |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.112 | $3.36 | 10d ago |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Yes | buy | 10.75 | $0.140 | $1.51 | 10d ago |
| Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?Yes | buy | 310 | $0.110 | $34.1 | 10d ago |
| Will Solomon Olamilekan Adeola win the 2027 Ogun State gubernatorial election?No | sell | 24.04 | $0.270 | $6.49 | 11d ago |
| Will Alia Hyacinth Iormem win the 2027 Benue State gubernatorial election?No | buy | 40 | $0.410 | $16.4 | 11d ago |
| Will Solomon Olamilekan Adeola win the 2027 Ogun State gubernatorial election?No | buy | 24.14 | $0.260 | $6.28 | 11d ago |
 Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?No | sell | 119.05 | $0.290 | $34.52 | 11d ago |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes | buy | 217.39 | $0.230 | $50 | 11d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Yes | buy | 6.74 | $0.110 | $0.74 | 13d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 161.29 | $0.310 | $50 | 13d ago |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes | buy | 147.96 | $0.110 | $16.28 | 13d ago |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.420 | $8.4 | 15d ago |
| Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | buy | 25.1 | $0.250 | $6.28 | 20d ago |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | buy | 204.92 | $0.122 | $25 | 21d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.240 | $100 | 22d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.120 | $50 | 22d ago |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | buy | 159.37 | $0.270 | $43.03 | 22d ago |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | buy | 202.26 | $0.320 | $64.72 | 23d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 208.33 | $0.240 | $50 | 24d ago |
 Will anyone say "Usurper" during House of the Dragon E7 S3?Yes | buy | 40.71 | $0.983 | $40 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will anyone say "Bastard" during House of the Dragon E7 S3?Yes | buy | 367.33 | $0.210 | $77 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will anyone say "Treason" during House of the Dragon E7 S3?Yes | buy | 435.98 | $0.161 | $70 | Aug 2, 2026 |