Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | Yes | 21.74 | $0.092 | $0.41 | -$1.59 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?No | buy | 9.74 | $0.190 | $1.85 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 3.57 |
| $0.280 |
| $1 |
| Apr 16, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.400 | $2.86 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 44.1 | $0.039 | $1.72 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Turkey by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.61 | $0.064 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.49 | $0.069 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?No | buy | 14.49 | $0.069 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No | buy | 25.67 | $0.210 | $5.39 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 38.46 | $0.140 | $5.38 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by April 30?Yes | buy | 470.48 | $0.071 | $33.61 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?Yes | buy | 9.71 | $0.103 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.340 | $5 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | sell | 90.9 | $0.280 | $25.45 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?Yes | sell | 22.22 | $0.091 | $2.02 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | sell | 111.11 | $0.160 | $17.78 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.045 | $1 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.038 | $1 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by June 30?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes | buy | 10.87 | $0.092 | $1 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by April 30?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes | buy | 10.87 | $0.092 | $1 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.039 | $7.8 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ETUp | buy | 2.71 | $0.790 | $2.14 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ETDown | buy | 2.17 | $0.780 | $1.69 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 10:45PM-10:50PM ETUp | buy | 1.74 | $0.870 | $1.51 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:30PM-12:35PM ETDown | buy | 17.68 | $0.320 | $5.66 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 Will the DHS shutdown last 90 days or more?Yes | buy | 4.46 | $0.224 | $1 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.220 | $20 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.090 | $10 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.025 | $5 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ETDown | buy | 1.5 | $0.630 | $0.95 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.040 | $5 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?Yes | buy | 98.44 | $0.190 | $18.7 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETDown | buy | 2.13 | $0.430 | $0.92 | Apr 5, 2026 |