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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 1 | $0.500 | $0.01 | -$0.49 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 16?Yes | sell | 1.35 | $0.660 | $0.89 | Jul 16, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 1 |
| $0.500 |
| $0 |
| -$0.5 |
 Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 1.6 | $0.500 | $0 | -$0.8 |
 Will Sadegh Mahsouli be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 2 | $0.500 | $0 | -$1 |
 Will Richard Grayson win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 2 | $0.500 | $0 | -$1 |
 Will Israel strike 15 or more countries in 2026? | Yes | 1.2 | $0.500 | $0 | -$0.6 |
 Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.1 | $0.500 | $0 | -$0.55 |
 Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 3 | $0.500 | $0 | -$1.5 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 1 | $0.500 | $0 | -$0.5 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 1 | $0.500 | $0 | -$0.5 |
 Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 2.1 | $0.500 | $0 | -$1.05 |
 Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 2 | $0.500 | $0 | -$1 |
 Will FW win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 2 | $0.500 | $0 | -$1 |
 Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 2 | $0.500 | $0 | -$1 |
 Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 2 | $0.500 | $0 | -$1 |
 Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 1.4 | $0.500 | $0 | -$0.7 |
 Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.1 | $0.500 | $0 | -$0.55 |
 Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1.1 | $0.500 | $0 | -$0.55 |
| buy |
| 1.35 |
| $0.740 |
| $1 |
| Jul 15, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 14?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?No | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 31°F or below on April 22?No | sell | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 38-39°F on April 21?No | sell | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 19?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will José Williams finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will Roberto Chiabra finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 999.22 | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will Yonhy Lescano finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will Carlos Espá finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will Fiorella Molinelli finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will Vladimir Cerrón finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by <9%?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will Rafael Belaúnde Llosa finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will José Williams finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will Vladimir Cerrón finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will Mario Vizcarra finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will Marisol Pérez Tello finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will Carlos Espá finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will Roberto Chiabra finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will César Acuña finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will Mesías Guevara finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will Enrique Valderrama finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will George Forsyth finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will Alfonso López Chau finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will Carlos Álvarez finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will Fernando Olivera finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will Wolfgang Grozo finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will Yonhy Lescano finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will Fiorella Molinelli finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will José Luna finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will Wolfgang Grozo finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will Marisol Pérez Tello finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will Yonhy Lescano finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will Fernando Olivera finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will Roberto Chiabra finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will Vladimir Cerrón finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will Carlos Álvarez finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will José Williams finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will César Acuña finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will Fiorella Molinelli finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 999.47 | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 |