Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 347.23 | $0.080 | $267.37 | +$239.59 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 8.75 | $0.860 | $7.52 | 15d ago |
 |
| No |
| 78.83 |
| $0.950 |
| $74.5 |
| -$0.39 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 30.56 | $0.818 | $25.86 | +$0.86 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | Yes | 87.47 | $0.617 | $20.12 | -$33.84 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | Yes | 53.78 | $0.465 | $19.09 | -$5.91 |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? | Yes | 47.31 | $0.670 | $10.41 | -$21.29 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | Yes | 72.22 | $0.270 | $9.03 | -$10.47 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | No | 4.93 | $0.880 | $4.61 | +$0.27 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 4.32 | $0.910 | $4.04 | +$0.11 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.200 | $4 | -$6 |
 Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? | Yes | 41.44 | $0.629 | $3.52 | -$22.56 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | Yes | 7.14 | $0.280 | $2.07 | +$0.07 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? | Yes | 10.16 | $0.599 | $1.88 | -$4.21 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? | Yes | 88.46 | $0.227 | $1.77 | -$18.28 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 10 | $0.500 | $1.65 | -$3.35 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 1.74 | $0.930 | $1.61 | -$0.01 |
 Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees | New York Yankees | 1.72 | $0.580 | $0.99 | -$0.01 |
 Spread: New York City FC (-1.5) | Los Angeles FC | 1.02 | $0.980 | $0.84 | -$0.16 |
| Will New York City FC win on 2026-05-06? | No | 1.25 | $0.800 | $0.74 | -$0.26 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-11 House seat? | No | 10 | $0.500 | $0.65 | -$4.35 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | Yes | 29.66 | $0.225 | $0.55 | -$6.13 |
| sell |
| 10 |
| $0.930 |
| $9.3 |
| 15d ago |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 86.06 | $0.986 | $84.86 | 15d ago |
 Will Solana dip to $95 on August 27?No | buy | 0.05 | $0.990 | $0.05 | 16d ago |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on August 27?No | sell | 5.15 | $0.960 | $4.94 | 16d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on August 27?No | buy | 5.15 | $0.970 | $5 | 16d ago |
 Will XRP reach $1.55 on August 21?No | buy | 2.45K | $0.001 | $2.45 | 22d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 on August 19?No | buy | 19.92 | $0.638 | $12.71 | 24d ago |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 106.8 | $0.050 | $5.34 | 24d ago |
 Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in August?Yes | buy | 5.81 | $0.980 | $5.69 | 24d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 104 | $0.050 | $5.2 | 24d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | 24d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 42.2 | $0.050 | $2.11 | 24d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 233.6 | $0.050 | $11.68 | 24d ago |
 Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 7.32 | $0.410 | $3 | 25d ago |
| Will XRP reach $1.00 on August 18?No | buy | 284 | $0.010 | $2.84 | 26d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 27.77 | $0.080 | $2.22 | 26d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 55.55 | $0.080 | $4.44 | 26d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Yes | buy | 208.33 | $0.120 | $25 | 26d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Yes | buy | 227.27 | $0.110 | $25 | 26d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | sell | 1.75 | $0.910 | $1.59 | 26d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | sell | 1.25 | $0.910 | $1.14 | 27d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | sell | 1.35 | $0.910 | $1.23 | 27d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | sell | 1.35 | $0.910 | $1.23 | 27d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.910 | $9.1 | 27d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Yes | buy | 53.78 | $0.465 | $25 | 27d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | sell | 2.75 | $0.910 | $2.5 | 27d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | sell | 1.17 | $0.910 | $1.06 | 27d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | sell | 1.13 | $0.910 | $1.03 | 27d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | sell | 1.2 | $0.910 | $1.09 | 27d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | sell | 1.36 | $0.910 | $1.24 | 27d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | sell | 1.35 | $0.910 | $1.23 | 27d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | sell | 1.25 | $0.910 | $1.14 | 27d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | sell | 5.86 | $0.910 | $5.33 | 27d ago |
 Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on August 31?Yes | buy | 15.96 | $0.961 | $15.34 | 27d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on August 31?Yes | buy | 41.62 | $0.961 | $40 | 27d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?No | sell | 26.01 | $0.960 | $24.97 | 28d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?No | sell | 26.01 | $0.960 | $24.97 | 28d ago |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 30.56 | $0.818 | $25 | 28d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 10-16?No | buy | 25.35 | $0.986 | $25 | 28d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.880 | $3.26 | 28d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | buy | 28.41 | $0.880 | $25 | 28d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?No | sell | 26.01 | $0.960 | $24.97 | 28d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?No | sell | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | 28d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?No | sell | 26.01 | $0.960 | $24.97 | 28d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?No | sell | 26.01 | $0.960 | $24.97 | 28d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?No | sell | 26.01 | $0.960 | $24.97 | 28d ago |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 28.57 | $0.330 | $9.43 | 29d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?No | sell | 2.08 | $0.960 | $2 | 29d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 5.55 | $0.220 | $1.22 | 29d ago |