Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?No | sell | 2.06 | $0.810 | $1.67 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 20 |
| $0.850 |
| $17 |
| Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will "Google" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?No | sell | 2.22 | $0.915 | $2.03 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 40.67 | $0.600 | $24.4 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?No | sell | 123.49 | $0.403 | $49.82 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.800 | $80 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.810 | $81 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 100 | $0.810 | $81 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?No | sell | 125 | $0.720 | $90 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | sell | 148.93 | $0.660 | $98.29 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?No | sell | 156.25 | $0.800 | $125 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?Yes | sell | 486.41 | $0.240 | $116.74 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No | sell | 194.8 | $0.860 | $167.53 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?No | buy | 123.49 | $0.440 | $54.34 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.270 | $27 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?No | sell | 142.6 | $0.192 | $27.34 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No | buy | 94.81 | $0.770 | $73 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.730 | $73 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?No | buy | 142.61 | $0.498 | $71.08 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.500 | $50 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | sell | 254.75 | $0.475 | $121.08 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 129.75 | $0.770 | $99.91 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No | buy | 100 | $0.800 | $79.97 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?No | buy | 156.25 | $0.640 | $100 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 148.94 | $0.470 | $70 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 270 | $0.935 | $252.45 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?No | buy | 97.42 | $0.960 | $93.56 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will "Apple Intelligence" be said 5+ times during the NYC Apple event on March 4?No | buy | 20 | $0.220 | $4.4 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.670 | $83.75 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.790 | $79 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?No | buy | 125 | $0.640 | $80 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei tweet again by March 7?No | buy | 336.52 | $0.820 | $275.95 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 227.53 | $0.797 | $181.43 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Ali Khamenei in 2026?No | buy | 90.03 | $0.950 | $85.5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | sell | 6.72 | $0.771 | $5.18 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Khamenei seen in public by March 4?Yes | sell | 29.25 | $0.050 | $1.46 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | sell | 125.8 | $0.232 | $29.15 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.163 | $32.63 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | sell | 180 | $0.058 | $10.44 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.050 | $25 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei seen in public by February 28?Yes | sell | 930 | $0.015 | $13.81 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei seen in public by March 4?No | buy | 70 | $0.740 | $51.8 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.079 | $39.5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 180 | $0.385 | $69.3 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei seen in public by March 4?Yes | buy | 99.25 | $0.210 | $20.84 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei seen in public by February 28?Yes | buy | 930 | $0.070 | $65.1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.310 | $31 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 40.67 | $0.750 | $30.5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 25.8 | $0.310 | $8 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 100 | $0.830 | $83 | Feb 28, 2026 |