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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 2.39K | $0.405 | $918.87 | -$47.99 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?Yes | sell | 186.48 | $0.100 | $18.65 | 3d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 1.2K |
| $0.416 |
| $603 |
| +$103.29 |
 Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 701 | $0.821 | $599.35 | +$24.14 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.1K | $0.225 | $423.14 | -$48.6 |
 Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 499.99 | $0.683 | $409.99 | +$68.33 |
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 501.7 | $0.639 | $390.57 | +$70.17 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | No | 310 | $0.774 | $271.25 | +$31.27 |
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 348.54 | $0.366 | $189.95 | +$62.4 |
| Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? | Yes | 2.05K | $0.175 | $184.5 | -$174.46 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 318 | $0.588 | $173.31 | -$13.67 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 152.13 | $0.870 | $136.16 | +$3.86 |
| Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 129.99 | $0.934 | $121.55 | +$0.15 |
 Ostium FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | 107.95 | $0.950 | $104.55 | +$2 |
| Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | 110.01 | $0.833 | $103.96 | +$12.36 |
| Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | 100 | $0.958 | $93.55 | -$2.25 |
| Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 120 | $0.845 | $93 | -$8.4 |
 Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.940 | $92.6 | -$1.4 |
| Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | Yes | 120 | $0.421 | $83.4 | +$32.89 |
 Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 60 | $0.870 | $53.7 | +$1.5 |
| Ostium FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 55 | $0.951 | $52.39 | +$0.09 |
| Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? | No | 50 | $0.934 | $44.68 | -$2.03 |
 Base FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 68.42 | $0.690 | $40.37 | -$6.83 |
| Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | 50 | $0.878 | $39.98 | -$3.93 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | No | 151.47 | $0.486 | $38.62 | -$34.96 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 309.99 | $0.113 | $30.38 | -$4.63 |
| sell |
| 100 |
| $0.940 |
| $94 |
| 3d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 293.71 | $0.240 | $70.49 | 3d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.790 | $23.7 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 218 | $0.610 | $132.98 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 293.7 | $0.279 | $81.92 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 22 | $0.730 | $16.06 | 4d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.595 | $148.75 | 5d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.840 | $168 | 5d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.930 | $93 | 5d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 39.99 | $0.470 | $18.8 | 5d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 68.01 | $0.470 | $31.96 | 5d ago |
| Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.110 | $4.4 | 5d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 63.9 | $0.644 | $41.14 | 8d ago |
| Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 63.07 | $0.757 | $47.74 | 15d ago |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 279 | $0.920 | $256.68 | 19d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 19 | $0.980 | $18.62 | 19d ago |
 Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 43.68 | $0.956 | $41.76 | 19d ago |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Yes | sell | 79 | $0.920 | $72.68 | 19d ago |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No | sell | 78 | $0.930 | $72.54 | 19d ago |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | sell | 88 | $0.965 | $84.92 | 19d ago |
 Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 90 | $0.965 | $86.88 | 19d ago |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | sell | 99 | $0.940 | $93.06 | 19d ago |
| Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?No | buy | 11 | $0.965 | $10.62 | 19d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 15 | $0.965 | $14.48 | 19d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.950 | $9.5 | 19d ago |
| Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 30.36 | $0.650 | $19.73 | 20d ago |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 220 | $0.870 | $191.4 | 21d ago |
| Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?Yes | buy | 8.75 | $0.114 | $1 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.966 | $1 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.590 | $118 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | sell | 32.98 | $0.720 | $23.75 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 110 | $0.870 | $95.7 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 243.76 | $0.049 | $12.05 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026?No | sell | 9.34 | $0.851 | $7.95 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?No | buy | 33.5 | $0.862 | $28.89 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?No | sell | 207 | $0.851 | $176.19 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 61.55 | $0.590 | $36.31 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.845 | $8.45 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | sell | 9.99 | $0.890 | $8.89 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.880 | $8.8 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Yes | buy | 156 | $0.420 | $65.52 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Yes | buy | 349.36 | $0.404 | $141.03 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?Yes | buy | 212.77 | $0.150 | $31.92 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.141 | $0.99 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?Yes | buy | 560.86 | $0.130 | $72.91 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 8.06 | $0.620 | $5 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.36 | $0.560 | $3 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?Yes | buy | 29.99 | $0.120 | $3.6 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?Yes | buy | 898.22 | $0.110 | $98.8 | Jul 29, 2026 |