Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | buy | 220.41 | $0.049 | $10.8 | Jun 3, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 408.16 |
| $0.049 |
| $20 |
| Jun 3, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | buy | 408.16 | $0.049 | $20 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | buy | 408.16 | $0.049 | $20 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | buy | 408.16 | $0.049 | $20 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | buy | 208.33 | $0.048 | $10 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?Yes | buy | 1.45K | $0.009 | $13.03 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?Yes | buy | 5.75K | $0.009 | $50 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?Yes | buy | 1.11K | $0.009 | $10 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?Yes | buy | 1.11K | $0.009 | $10 | May 13, 2026 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.25K | $0.020 | $24.95 | May 7, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.09K | $0.019 | $20.72 | May 7, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?No | buy | 210.53 | $0.019 | $4 | May 7, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?No | buy | 428.57 | $0.021 | $9 | May 6, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?No | buy | 238.1 | $0.021 | $5 | May 6, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?No | buy | 238.1 | $0.021 | $5 | May 6, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | May 6, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?No | buy | 434.78 | $0.023 | $10 | May 4, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | May 4, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 8.8K | $0.001 | $8.8 | May 4, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | May 4, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.45K | $0.002 | $4.9 | May 3, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 277.78 | $0.018 | $5 | May 3, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.002 | $5 | May 3, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | May 3, 2025 |
 Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?No | buy | 4K | $0.001 | $4 | May 3, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 4K | $0.001 | $4 | May 3, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | May 3, 2025 |
| Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?No | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | May 3, 2025 |
| Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?No | buy | 7.95K | $0.002 | $15.9 | May 2, 2025 |
| Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?No | buy | 11.95K | $0.002 | $23.9 | May 2, 2025 |
| Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?No | buy | 12.35K | $0.002 | $24.7 | May 2, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 14.2K | $0.002 | $28.4 | May 2, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.002 | $20 | May 2, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?No | buy | 13.64K | $0.011 | $150 | May 2, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 13.5K | $0.002 | $27 | May 2, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.003 | $30 | May 2, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?No | buy | 3.64K | $0.011 | $40 | May 2, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?No | buy | 18.18K | $0.011 | $200 | May 2, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?No | buy | 17.2K | $0.010 | $172 | May 2, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?No | buy | 298 | $0.050 | $14.9 | May 2, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran in April?Yes | buy | 3.38K | $0.004 | $13.94 | Apr 30, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.4K | $0.010 | $24 | Apr 29, 2025 |
 Will India invade Pakistan before July?Yes | sell | 96.08 | $0.250 | $24.02 | Apr 29, 2025 |
| Will India invade Pakistan before July?Yes | buy | 96.07 | $0.270 | $25.94 | Apr 29, 2025 |
| Will India invade Pakistan before July?Yes | sell | 103.77 | $0.250 | $25.94 | Apr 29, 2025 |
| Will India invade Pakistan before July?Yes | buy | 103.78 | $0.270 | $28.02 | Apr 29, 2025 |
 Israel military action against Iran in April?Yes | buy | 59.63 | $0.027 | $1.6 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 Will the next Pope be trans?Yes | sell | 833.33 | $0.002 | $1.67 | Apr 28, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran in April?Yes | buy | 320.93 | $0.028 | $9 | Apr 28, 2025 |