Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 National Rally forms a French Senate Group in 2026? | No | 39.99 | $0.465 | $7.4 | -$11.2 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?No | sell | 161.86 | $0.680 | $110.06 | May 10, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 33.32 |
| $0.187 |
| $5.45 |
| -$0.77 |
 Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? | Yes | 40 | $0.245 | $2.8 | -$7 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 13.55 | $0.369 | $2.2 | -$2.8 |
 Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | Yes | 12 | $0.335 | $0.73 | -$3.29 |
| sell |
| 100 |
| $0.310 |
| $31 |
| May 9, 2026 |
 Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.491 | $147.3 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.130 | $6.5 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?No | sell | 25.99 | $0.820 | $21.31 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?No | sell | 50 | $0.685 | $34.25 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?Yes | sell | 31.61 | $0.608 | $19.22 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.870 | $43.5 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 50 | $0.608 | $30.4 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by May 31?No | sell | 3.49 | $0.240 | $0.84 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?No | sell | 50 | $0.748 | $37.4 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.651 | $32.55 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?No | sell | 42 | $0.980 | $41.16 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?No | sell | 100 | $0.939 | $93.93 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Crude Oil all time high by March 31?No | sell | 112.5 | $0.983 | $110.59 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.901 | $180.2 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in March?No | sell | 5 | $0.170 | $0.85 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No | sell | 100 | $0.340 | $34 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by June 30?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.690 | $34.5 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31?No | sell | 143.87 | $0.357 | $51.42 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?No | sell | 60 | $0.973 | $58.38 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?No | sell | 120 | $0.891 | $106.95 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Crude Oil all time high by March 31?No | sell | 200 | $0.972 | $194.4 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?Yes | sell | 79 | $0.960 | $75.85 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?No | sell | 9.7 | $0.850 | $8.25 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 62.09 | $0.470 | $29.18 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?No | sell | 29.95 | $0.725 | $21.71 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 NCAA Tournament: No. 15 seed to pull off an upset?Yes | sell | 120 | $0.308 | $36.96 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will 15-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?Yes | sell | 35.21 | $0.213 | $7.5 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will US crude oil reserves fall to 300M by May 1?Yes | sell | 13.67 | $0.160 | $2.19 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?No | sell | 128.4 | $0.770 | $98.87 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will I Lied to You - Sinners win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.135 | $6.75 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 15.45 | $0.560 | $8.65 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will Luke Bronin be the Democratic nominee for CT-01?No | sell | 98.19 | $0.510 | $50.08 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | sell | 190 | $0.975 | $185.28 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?No | sell | 50 | $0.820 | $41 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.828 | $57.96 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?No | sell | 14.07 | $0.961 | $13.52 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $80 end of February?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.750 | $15 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 39.98 | $0.347 | $13.88 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will the 2026 State of the Union address be between 80 and 90 minutes long?No | sell | 20 | $0.870 | $17.4 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 15+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.880 | $44 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Wilson be the Republican Nominee for MS-02?No | sell | 52.53 | $0.360 | $18.91 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Will Rob Altman be the Republican Nominee for TX-10?No | sell | 26.91 | $0.920 | $24.76 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No | sell | 80.19 | $0.300 | $24.06 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?No | sell | 50 | $0.851 | $42.55 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.350 | $35 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.278 | $55.51 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Will "The Lincoln Lawyer: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week?Yes | sell | 99.99 | $0.699 | $69.84 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | sell | 200 | $0.927 | $185.4 | Feb 14, 2026 |