Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | No | 23.23 | $0.700 | $15.68 | -$0.58 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes | sell | 1.45 | $0.660 | $0.96 | 23h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 10.89 |
| $0.648 |
| $9.53 |
| +$2.47 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 29.51 | $0.357 | $7.53 | -$3.01 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | Yes | 10.32 | $0.527 | $5.57 | +$0.13 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027? | Yes | 4.84 | $0.668 | $4.28 | +$1.05 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | No | 4.88 | $0.830 | $4.1 | +$0.05 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 9.06 | $0.460 | $4.03 | -$0.14 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 4.46 | $0.530 | $3.72 | +$1.36 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 4.65 | $0.865 | $3.7 | -$0.32 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 14.85 | $0.169 | $2.9 | +$0.39 |
 Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes? | Yes | 5.28 | $0.420 | $2.77 | +$0.55 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 4.59 | $0.520 | $2.41 | +$0.02 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | No | 4.66 | $0.430 | $2.14 | +$0.14 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | No | 2.25 | $0.900 | $2.1 | +$0.08 |
 Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | No | 2.57 | $0.790 | $2.07 | +$0.04 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | No | 2.13 | $0.943 | $2.01 | +$0 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 4 | $0.500 | $1.98 | -$0.02 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 2.27 | $0.890 | $1.96 | -$0.06 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 25 | $0.081 | $1.96 | -$0.06 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.94 | $0.630 | $1.93 | +$0.07 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | Yes | 75.86 | $0.059 | $1.63 | -$2.82 |
 Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 7.5 | $0.220 | $1.61 | -$0.04 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 1.83 | $0.840 | $1.6 | +$0.06 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? | No | 1.65 | $0.909 | $1.54 | +$0.04 |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | No | 4.45 | $0.460 | $1.54 | -$0.51 |
| buy |
| 2.49 |
| $0.520 |
| $1.29 |
| 1d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 1.83 | $0.510 | $0.93 | 1d ago |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 4.95 | $0.199 | $0.99 | 2d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.750 | $0.01 | 2d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 0.67 | $0.120 | $0.08 | 2d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 0.05 | $0.120 | $0.01 | 2d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 0.98 | $0.120 | $0.12 | 2d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes | sell | 0.12 | $0.610 | $0.07 | 2d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes | buy | 3.34 | $0.610 | $2.04 | 2d ago |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | buy | 2.57 | $0.790 | $2.03 | 2d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 5.04 | $0.750 | $3.78 | 2d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 0.79 | $0.740 | $0.58 | 2d ago |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?No | buy | 2.12 | $0.943 | $2 | 3d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 4 | $0.500 | $2 | 3d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 35.86 | $0.035 | $1.26 | 3d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 2.71 | $0.740 | $2.01 | 3d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 0.08 | $0.730 | $0.06 | 3d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 5.32 | $0.730 | $3.88 | 3d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 3.93 | $0.520 | $2.04 | 4d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 2.86 | $0.700 | $2 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.700 | $1.75 | 4d ago |
 Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Yes | sell | 0.04 | $0.270 | $0.01 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | sell | 1.81 | $0.510 | $0.92 | 4d ago |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 0.95 | $0.450 | $0.43 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.4 | $0.150 | $0.06 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 1.91 | $0.500 | $0.96 | 4d ago |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.890 | $2.02 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.1 | $0.260 | $0.03 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.13 | $0.270 | $0.04 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.94 | $0.280 | $0.26 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.94 | $0.280 | $0.26 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.94 | $0.280 | $0.26 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.94 | $0.280 | $0.26 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.94 | $0.280 | $0.26 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.15 | $0.290 | $0.62 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | sell | 1.05 | $0.470 | $0.49 | 5d ago |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 5.5 | $0.130 | $0.72 | 5d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 2.86 | $0.450 | $1.29 | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes | sell | 0.03 | $0.480 | $0.01 | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes | sell | 1.46 | $0.480 | $0.7 | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes | sell | 1.6 | $0.470 | $0.75 | 5d ago |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.700 | $1.55 | 5d ago |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?No | sell | 0.2 | $0.930 | $0.19 | 5d ago |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?No | sell | 0.06 | $0.920 | $0.06 | 5d ago |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?No | sell | 0.12 | $0.920 | $0.11 | 5d ago |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?No | sell | 0.05 | $0.920 | $0.05 | 5d ago |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?No | sell | 0.15 | $0.920 | $0.14 | 5d ago |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?No | sell | 0.1 | $0.920 | $0.09 | 5d ago |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?No | sell | 0.16 | $0.920 | $0.15 | 5d ago |