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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Yes | buy | 74.61 | $0.310 | $23.13 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 66.77 |
| $0.170 |
| $11.35 |
| Apr 19, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 286.67 | $0.054 | $15.48 | Apr 19, 2025 |
| Will U.S. GDP growth be between 2% and 1% in Q1 2025?Yes | sell | 51.98 | $0.180 | $9.36 | Apr 19, 2025 |
 U.S. citizens transferred to El Salvador before July?Yes | sell | 38.46 | $0.070 | $2.69 | Apr 19, 2025 |
 U.S. recession before May 2025?Yes | sell | 311.23 | $0.005 | $1.56 | Apr 19, 2025 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% in April?Yes | sell | 374.13 | $0.005 | $1.87 | Apr 19, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 242.49 | $0.054 | $13.14 | Apr 19, 2025 |
| Will U.S. GDP growth be between 2% and 1% in Q1 2025?Yes | sell | 73.02 | $0.180 | $13.14 | Apr 19, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 76.46 | $0.048 | $3.67 | Apr 19, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 133.16 | $0.075 | $10 | Apr 19, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever HappensNo | buy | 9.5 | $0.400 | $3.8 | Apr 19, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 189.19 | $0.037 | $7 | Apr 19, 2025 |
 US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?Yes | sell | 33.32 | $0.320 | $10.66 | Apr 19, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever HappensNo | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Apr 19, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 125–149 times April 11–18?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | Apr 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 3+ times during Easter Dinner on April 16?Yes | buy | 19.44 | $0.180 | $3.5 | Apr 16, 2025 |
| U.S. citizens transferred to El Salvador before July?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Apr 16, 2025 |
| Will U.S. GDP growth be between 2% and 1% in Q1 2025?Yes | buy | 102.74 | $0.146 | $15 | Apr 16, 2025 |
| US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?Yes | buy | 33.32 | $0.250 | $8.33 | Apr 11, 2025 |
 Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?Yes | sell | 27.77 | $0.300 | $8.33 | Apr 11, 2025 |
| Will U.S. GDP growth be between 2% and 1% in Q1 2025?Yes | buy | 99.54 | $0.201 | $19.99 | Apr 11, 2025 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% in April?Yes | buy | 42.55 | $0.047 | $2 | Apr 10, 2025 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% in April?Yes | buy | 374.13 | $0.013 | $5 | Apr 10, 2025 |
 Fear & Greed Index says "Extreme Fear" every day this week?No | buy | 17.41 | $0.057 | $1 | Apr 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump's approval rating be between 47.0% and 47.4% on April 11?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Apr 10, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 400-424 times April 4 - 11?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 9, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.026 | $1.43 | Apr 9, 2025 |
 Trump imposes 100% tariff on China before July?No | buy | 162.94 | $0.015 | $2.5 | Apr 9, 2025 |
| U.S. recession before May 2025?Yes | buy | 311.23 | $0.008 | $2.5 | Apr 6, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before July?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Apr 6, 2025 |
| Will U.S. GDP growth be between 2% and 1% in Q1 2025?Yes | buy | 153.7 | $0.214 | $32.92 | Apr 5, 2025 |
| Will U.S. GDP growth be greater than 2% in Q1 2025?Yes | buy | 26.49 | $0.057 | $1.5 | Apr 5, 2025 |
| Will U.S. GDP growth be between 2% and 1% in Q1 2025?Yes | buy | 15.29 | $0.210 | $3.21 | Apr 5, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 550-574 times April 4 - 11?Yes | buy | 58.38 | $0.017 | $1 | Apr 5, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 575-599 times April 4 - 11?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | Apr 5, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 600 or more times April 4 - 11?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | Apr 5, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Apr 5, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever HappensNo | buy | 17.41 | $0.287 | $5 | Apr 4, 2025 |
| Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.180 | $5 | Apr 4, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 375-399 times March 28 - April 4?Yes | buy | 105.26 | $0.038 | $4 | Apr 4, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 325-349 times March 28 - April 4?Yes | buy | 4.63 | $0.432 | $2 | Apr 4, 2025 |
| Will U.S. GDP growth be greater than 2% in Q1 2025?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.033 | $3 | Apr 4, 2025 |
| Will U.S. GDP growth be between 2% and 1% in Q1 2025?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | Apr 4, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 375-399 times March 28 - April 4?Yes | buy | 12.35 | $0.081 | $1 | Apr 4, 2025 |
| Will U.S. GDP growth be between 1% and 0% in Q1 2025?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.270 | $10 | Apr 4, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 375-399 times March 28 - April 4?Yes | buy | 9.97 | $0.176 | $1.76 | Apr 4, 2025 |
 Will Trump announce tariffs on Australia on April 2?No | buy | 21.76 | $0.700 | $15.23 | Apr 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump announce tariffs on India on April 2?Yes | sell | 16.92 | $0.900 | $15.23 | Apr 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump announce tariffs on India on April 2?Yes | buy | 16.93 | $0.970 | $16.42 | Apr 2, 2025 |