Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1.16 | +$0.16 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.859 | $1 | Apr 22, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 2 |
| $0.500 |
| $0.85 |
| -$0.15 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 4.65 | $0.430 | $0.63 | -$1.37 |
 Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 2.27 | $0.440 | $0.14 | -$0.86 |
| buy |
| 1.04 |
| $0.960 |
| $1 |
| Apr 22, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on April 10?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.921 | $0.99 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C or higher on April 9?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.880 | $0.99 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on April 8?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.425 | $0.94 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 7?Yes | buy | 2.06 | $0.460 | $0.95 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.798 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 18.87 | $0.053 | $1 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 4.65 | $0.430 | $2 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 7?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.840 | $2 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.992 | $2 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ETDown | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?Yes | buy | 3.26 | $0.920 | $3 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.985 | $3 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 1?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.928 | $1 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 1.07 | $0.931 | $1 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ETDown | buy | 1.46 | $0.670 | $0.98 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETUp | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETDown | buy | 19.98 | $0.050 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETDown | buy | 1.76 | $0.550 | $0.97 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETDown | buy | 1.36 | $0.720 | $0.98 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETDown | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETUp | buy | 5.5 | $0.180 | $0.99 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?No | buy | 5.06 | $0.988 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?Yes | buy | 3.41 | $0.880 | $3 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ETUp | buy | 1.62 | $0.600 | $0.97 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETDown | buy | 1.94 | $0.500 | $0.97 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETUp | buy | 1.57 | $0.620 | $0.97 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETUp | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETDown | buy | 7.09 | $0.140 | $0.99 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.510 | $3 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 4.11 | $0.730 | $3 | Feb 28, 2026 |