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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 133 | $0.822 | $109.33 | 24d ago |
 |
| sell |
| 499.79 |
| $0.630 |
| $314.87 |
| 24d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 780 | $0.130 | $101.4 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 172 | $0.600 | $103.2 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.620 | $9.12 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 400 | $0.997 | $398.8 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 400 | $0.780 | $312 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | sell | 1.2K | $0.220 | $264 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 1.2K | $0.540 | $648 | May 24, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | sell | 745.14 | $0.938 | $698.96 | May 21, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 263 | $0.860 | $226.18 | May 11, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | sell | 549.99 | $0.410 | $225.5 | May 11, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.620 | $15.5 | May 6, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 699.97 | $0.488 | $341.88 | May 6, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 32.14 | $0.640 | $20.57 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 450 | $0.640 | $288 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 28.19 | $0.440 | $12.4 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 619.03 | $0.996 | $616.55 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 619.03 | $0.730 | $451.89 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?No | buy | 450 | $0.890 | $400.5 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | sell | 404.62 | $0.994 | $402.19 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 404.62 | $0.620 | $250.66 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.800 | $200 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | sell | 95 | $0.409 | $38.86 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | sell | 295.93 | $0.401 | $118.67 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | sell | 85 | $0.408 | $34.68 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.416 | $4.16 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.436 | $4.36 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 129 | $0.684 | $88.24 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Will the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) win the Bangladesh parliamentary election by 9% or more?Yes | sell | 86.4 | $0.995 | $85.97 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.770 | $30.82 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 26.93 | $0.770 | $20.74 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.772 | $77.2 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.772 | $154.4 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) win the Bangladesh parliamentary election by 9% or more?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.540 | $10.8 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) win the Bangladesh parliamentary election by 9% or more?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.530 | $13.25 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) win the Bangladesh parliamentary election by 9% or more?Yes | buy | 41.4 | $0.520 | $21.53 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by February 20?No | buy | 120 | $0.850 | $102 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by February 20?No | buy | 71.1 | $0.840 | $59.72 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by February 20?No | buy | 5 | $0.830 | $4.15 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?No | sell | 510 | $0.972 | $495.72 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?No | buy | 510 | $0.699 | $356.7 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Yes | sell | 351 | $0.998 | $350.3 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Yes | buy | 351 | $0.880 | $308.88 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) finish in second place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Yes | sell | 2.43K | $0.029 | $71.58 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Yes | sell | 2.22K | $0.110 | $244.4 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) finish in second place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Yes | buy | 43.8 | $0.670 | $29.35 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) finish in second place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.650 | $13 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) finish in second place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Yes | buy | 267.39 | $0.670 | $179.15 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) finish in second place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Yes | buy | 147.3 | $0.660 | $97.22 | Feb 6, 2026 |