Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 271.74 | $0.184 | $64.4 | +$14.4 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Claude 6 released by December 31, 2027?No | sell | 12 | $0.130 | $1.56 | 4d ago |
 |
| No |
| 2 |
| $0.380 |
| $1.57 |
| +$0.81 |
 Will Matt Orlando win the 2026 Chandler mayoral election? | No | 22 | $0.130 | $0.85 | -$2.01 |
 Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 0.76 | $0.827 | $0.63 | -$0 |
 Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%? | Yes | 0.99 | $0.490 | $0.57 | +$0.08 |
 Will Donald Trump Jr. post about $LAPTOP by September 30? | No | 0.63 | $0.770 | $0.54 | +$0.06 |
 US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31? | Yes | 0.74 | $0.610 | $0.52 | +$0.07 |
 Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rondônia? | No | 20 | $0.090 | $0.5 | -$1.3 |
 Will Eugenio Segura Vázquez win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election? | No | 0.77 | $0.400 | $0.49 | +$0.18 |
 Will Nkosindiphile Xhakaza be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni? | Yes | 17 | $0.360 | $0.48 | -$5.64 |
 Will Jairo Palheta win the 2026 Amapá gubernatorial election? | Yes | 22 | $0.110 | $0.46 | -$1.96 |
 Will Sílvia Cristina win the most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election? | Yes | 1 | $0.451 | $0.35 | -$0.1 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Tocantins? | Yes | 0.99 | $0.192 | $0.32 | +$0.13 |
 Will Mutfwang Caleb Manasseh win the 2027 Plateau State gubernatorial election? | Yes | 0.29 | $0.830 | $0.23 | -$0.01 |
 Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027? | No | 0.34 | $0.560 | $0.18 | -$0.01 |
 Will Mustapha Gubio win the 2027 Borno State gubernatorial election? | Yes | 0.2 | $0.860 | $0.17 | -$0 |
| Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 0.11 | $0.680 | $0.07 | -$0.01 |
 Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower? | Yes | 5 | $0.520 | $0.02 | -$2.58 |
 Will "Practical Magic 2" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | Yes | 0.26 | $0.500 | $0 | -$0.13 |
| sell |
| 22 |
| $0.089 |
| $1.96 |
| 4d ago |
 Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?No | sell | 4 | $0.420 | $1.68 | 4d ago |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. post about $LAPTOP by September 30?No | sell | 4 | $0.100 | $0.4 | 4d ago |
 Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.890 | $3.56 | 4d ago |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.860 | $3.44 | 4d ago |
| Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 18 | $0.210 | $3.78 | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.270 | $5.67 | 4d ago |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.690 | $5.52 | 4d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post about $LAPTOP by September 30?No | sell | 20 | $0.740 | $14.8 | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model debut as #1? (Text Arena)No | sell | 42 | $0.846 | $35.53 | 4d ago |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. post about $LAPTOP by September 30?No | sell | 50.37 | $0.110 | $5.54 | 4d ago |
 Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 22 | $0.830 | $18.26 | 4d ago |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?No | buy | 55 | $0.439 | $24.15 | 4d ago |
 LAPTOP listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE?No | buy | 55 | $0.940 | $51.7 | 4d ago |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.480 | $26.4 | 4d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post about $LAPTOP by September 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.670 | $3.35 | 4d ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.740 | $16.28 | 4d ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?No | buy | 22 | $0.270 | $5.94 | 4d ago |
 Will Elon tweet 800-839 times in September 2026?No | buy | 22 | $0.910 | $20.02 | 4d ago |
 Will Ukraine re-enter Kolodiazi by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.630 | $13.86 | 5d ago |
 LAPTOP airdrop by September 30?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.770 | $16.94 | 5d ago |
 Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 7.00% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 22 | $0.550 | $12.1 | 5d ago |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.420 | $9.24 | 5d ago |
| Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.90% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 22 | $0.070 | $1.54 | 5d ago |
 Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?No | buy | 22 | $0.180 | $3.96 | 5d ago |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.218 | $4.79 | 6d ago |
 Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.510 | $11.22 | 6d ago |
 Will "Dandelion - Ella Langley" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of September 19?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.780 | $17.16 | 6d ago |
 Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.590 | $12.98 | 6d ago |
| Claude 6 released by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.790 | $7.9 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.740 | $40.7 | 6d ago |
| Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.900 | $49.5 | 6d ago |
 Does a card sell for more than Logan’s record $16,492,000 by the end of 2026?No | buy | 22 | $0.890 | $19.58 | 7d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?No | buy | 55 | $0.300 | $16.5 | 7d ago |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.610 | $33.55 | 7d ago |
 Will "The Secret Woman" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.910 | $20.02 | 8d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?No | buy | 34 | $0.650 | $22.1 | 8d ago |
| Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.500 | $9 | 8d ago |
| Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 22 | $0.450 | $9.9 | 8d ago |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model debut as #1? (Text Arena)No | buy | 22 | $0.769 | $16.92 | 8d ago |
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.170 | $3.74 | 9d ago |
| Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 18 | $0.270 | $4.86 | 9d ago |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model debut as #1? (Text Arena)No | buy | 22 | $0.830 | $18.26 | 9d ago |
 Will the Democratic Party win the MO-05 House seat?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.840 | $18.48 | 9d ago |
| Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 22 | $0.740 | $16.28 | 9d ago |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 8, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.829 | $16.58 | 9d ago |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.730 | $16.06 | 9d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.240 | $5.28 | 9d ago |
| Will American Doctor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.430 | $9.46 | 9d ago |