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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | No | 95.68 | $0.836 | $90.41 | +$10.41 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | May 30, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 39.47 |
| $0.760 |
| $37.95 |
| +$7.95 |
 Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026? | Yes | 20.8 | $0.481 | $4.99 | -$5.01 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 35.71 | $0.140 | $1.96 | -$3.04 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 33.33 | $0.120 | $1.28 | -$2.72 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 18.61 | $0.322 | $1.21 | -$4.79 |
 Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? | Yes | 6.12 | $0.490 | $0.92 | -$2.08 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 26.67 | $0.150 | $0.89 | -$3.11 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | Yes | 35.71 | $0.140 | $0.62 | -$4.38 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? | Yes | 25.64 | $0.039 | $0.4 | -$0.6 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | Yes | 20 | $0.100 | $0.34 | -$1.66 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? | Yes | 14.29 | $0.070 | $0.17 | -$0.83 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027? | Yes | 12.5 | $0.080 | $0.04 | -$0.96 |
| buy |
| 14.08 |
| $0.710 |
| $10 |
| May 30, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 8.93 | $0.560 | $5 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?No | buy | 10.96 | $0.730 | $8 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.350 | $10 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | sell | 12.26 | $0.181 | $2.22 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?Yes | buy | 11.9 | $0.084 | $1 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.420 | $3 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?Yes | buy | 5.17 | $0.580 | $3 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.120 | $4 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?Yes | buy | 6.12 | $0.490 | $3 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 8.7 | $0.230 | $2 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.19 | $0.640 | $11 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | sell | 67.3 | $0.510 | $34.32 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 ICE shooter charged by March 31?No | buy | 22.73 | $0.660 | $15 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?Yes | buy | 24.83 | $0.998 | $24.78 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31?Yes | sell | 34.48 | $0.033 | $1.14 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 28.15 | $0.746 | $21 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by March 31?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.120 | $2 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in January 2026?Yes | buy | 5.36 | $0.560 | $3 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 12.27 | $0.163 | $2 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.078 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31?Yes | buy | 68.97 | $0.029 | $2 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 18.61 | $0.322 | $6 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 26.67 | $0.150 | $4 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Megaquake by June 30?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will "Man I Need - Olivia Dean" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?Yes | buy | 11.36 | $0.440 | $5 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026?Yes | buy | 20.8 | $0.481 | $10 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.039 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will Turkey qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 8.47 | $0.590 | $5 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down on January 3?Up | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 36.36 | $0.055 | $2 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 33.15 | $0.151 | $5 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?No | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before GTA VI?No | buy | 40 | $0.500 | $20 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.390 | $5 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.53 | $0.190 | $2 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?Yes | buy | 6.1 | $0.820 | $5 | Jan 3, 2026 |