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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes | buy | 3.25K | $0.611 | $1.99K | Nov 29, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 1.99K |
| $0.999 |
| $1.99K |
| Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 488.36 | $0.883 | $431.38 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes | buy | 57.82 | $0.420 | $24.28 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?Yes | buy | 2.7K | $0.978 | $2.64K | Nov 1, 2025 |
 Will Atlas introduce ads by December 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.110 | $11 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2025?Yes | buy | 26.71 | $0.170 | $4.54 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?Yes | sell | 1.04K | $0.984 | $1.02K | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 964.86 | $0.955 | $921.44 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 OpenAI browser by October 31?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.794 | $1.33K | Oct 20, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.4K | $0.950 | $1.33K | Oct 20, 2025 |
| Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?Yes | buy | 1.04K | $0.971 | $1.01K | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?No | buy | 1.68K | $0.179 | $300 | Oct 16, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.4K | $0.940 | $1.31K | Oct 16, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.79K | $0.900 | $2.51K | Oct 5, 2025 |
 Will the federal government be shut down for 1–3 days in 2025?No | sell | 2.52K | $0.998 | $2.51K | Oct 4, 2025 |
| Will the federal government be shut down for 1–3 days in 2025?No | buy | 97 | $0.994 | $96.42 | Oct 3, 2025 |
| US government shutdown by October 1?Yes | buy | 2.52K | $0.974 | $2.46K | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | buy | 2.39K | $0.961 | $2.29K | Sep 19, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | sell | 0.12 | $0.983 | $0.12 | Sep 19, 2025 |
| Will Microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | buy | 24.99 | $0.949 | $23.72 | Sep 19, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | buy | 1.26K | $0.967 | $1.21K | Sep 18, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.21K | $0.910 | $1.11K | Sep 14, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | sell | 1.13K | $0.975 | $1.11K | Sep 14, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | buy | 2.14K | $0.920 | $1.97K | Sep 1, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?Yes | buy | 2.09K | $0.910 | $1.9K | Aug 29, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | sell | 1.92K | $0.986 | $1.9K | Aug 29, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 1.92K | $0.970 | $1.87K | Aug 22, 2025 |
| Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?Yes | buy | 1.94K | $0.925 | $1.8K | Aug 17, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 2.18K | $0.825 | $1.8K | Aug 17, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 398 | $0.818 | $325.56 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 US x Iran ceasefire before August?No | buy | 1.71K | $0.998 | $1.71K | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?No | sell | 1.72K | $0.995 | $1.71K | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Australia in July?No | buy | 50.12 | $0.958 | $48 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.480 | $48 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?No | buy | 414.02 | $0.979 | $405.33 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?No | buy | 17.02 | $0.962 | $16.37 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Will Eric Adams win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 5.12 | $0.820 | $4.2 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?Yes | sell | 202.85 | $0.060 | $12.17 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?No | buy | 416.05 | $0.961 | $400 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?No | buy | 40.91 | $0.968 | $39.6 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 43.32 | $0.914 | $39.59 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?No | buy | 260.39 | $0.976 | $254.1 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?No | buy | 299.52 | $0.970 | $290.53 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 29.48 | $0.905 | $26.68 | Jul 28, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.24 | $0.958 | $5.02 | Jul 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump release more Epstein files before August?Yes | sell | 177.54 | $0.028 | $5.01 | Jul 28, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 801.15 | $0.962 | $770.71 | Jul 25, 2025 |
| Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 530 | $0.905 | $479.65 | Jul 25, 2025 |
| Will Eric Adams win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 250 | $0.800 | $200 | Jul 25, 2025 |