Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 42.54 | $0.820 | $34.88 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Will Matt Goodwin – Reform win the Gorton and Denton by-election?Yes| sell |
| 77.33 |
| $0.051 |
| $3.94 |
| Feb 27, 2026 |
 Starmer out by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 35.29 | $0.170 | $6 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.320 | $4 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will Angeliki Stogia - Labour win the Gorton and Denton by-election?Yes | buy | 35.15 | $0.114 | $4 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Starmer out by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 156.25 | $0.032 | $5 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Starmer out by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will Matt Goodwin – Reform win the Gorton and Denton by-election?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Starmer out by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 156.25 | $0.032 | $5 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 7.57 | $0.680 | $5.15 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Matt Goodwin – Reform win the Gorton and Denton by-election?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.220 | $4.18 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?No | buy | 9.38 | $0.320 | $3 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Angeliki Stogia - Labour win the Gorton and Denton by-election?Yes | buy | 51.91 | $0.096 | $5 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Matt Goodwin – Reform win the Gorton and Denton by-election?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.240 | $8 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Yes | sell | 5.17 | $0.500 | $2.58 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Starmer out by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.400 | $5 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Yes | sell | 3.6 | $0.500 | $1.8 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.180 | $1.8 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?No | buy | 20.8 | $0.880 | $18.3 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 11.23 | $0.870 | $9.77 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | sell | 5.47 | $0.998 | $5.46 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | sell | 3.84 | $0.800 | $3.07 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 47.09 | $0.790 | $37.2 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?No | buy | 15.87 | $0.630 | $10 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?No | buy | 8.06 | $0.620 | $5 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | sell | 3.57 | $0.760 | $2.71 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?No | sell | 5.06 | $0.780 | $3.95 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Yes | buy | 8.77 | $0.570 | $5 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?No | buy | 6.94 | $0.720 | $5 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?No | buy | 12.05 | $0.830 | $10 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 13.04 | $0.920 | $12 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.95 | $0.880 | $7 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.44 | $0.820 | $2 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?No | buy | 3.1 | $0.969 | $3 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?Yes | sell | 7.46 | $0.700 | $5.22 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?No | sell | 12.1 | $0.220 | $2.66 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?No | buy | 5.43 | $0.230 | $1.25 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 5.48 | $0.730 | $4 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?No | sell | 2.89 | $0.680 | $1.97 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.800 | $10 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?No | sell | 10.52 | $0.940 | $9.89 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?Yes | buy | 7.46 | $0.670 | $5 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.950 | $10 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?No | buy | 5.06 | $0.790 | $4 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?No | buy | 3.26 | $0.920 | $3 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?No | buy | 10.21 | $0.979 | $10 | Jan 24, 2026 |