Analytics
Rank, Total PnL and Observed Volume retain the selected Observed 80K snapshot. Positions, chart and recent trades are independent Polymarket observations. Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | No | 17.09 | $0.573 | $16.15 | +$6.36 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 0.03 | $0.430 | $0.01 | 15d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 26.32 |
| $0.380 |
| $12.76 |
| +$2.76 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 202.04 | $0.047 | $12.73 | +$3.28 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 309.7 | $0.029 | $10.68 | +$1.58 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 72.69 | $0.130 | $9.09 | -$0.36 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | No | 7.48 | $0.660 | $7.26 | +$2.32 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 7.24 | $0.840 | $6.62 | +$0.54 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 3.03 | $0.350 | $2.41 | +$1.35 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 17.13 | $0.389 | $2.31 | -$4.36 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 3.92 | $0.550 | $1.95 | -$0.21 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 1.85 | $0.800 | $1.45 | -$0.03 |
 Paul Mescal announced as next James Bond? | No | 1.1 | $0.989 | $1.1 | +$0.01 |
 Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | Yes | 5.3 | $0.200 | $0.93 | -$0.13 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 0.95 | $0.928 | $0.92 | +$0.04 |
 Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 7 | $0.150 | $0.91 | -$0.14 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5.19 | $0.210 | $0.7 | -$0.39 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.64 | $0.930 | $0.63 | +$0.03 |
 Will Matthew Rhys – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a comedy series? | No | 13.68 | $0.076 | $0.59 | -$0.45 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2.11 | $0.495 | $0.43 | -$0.61 |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 0.37 | $0.930 | $0.37 | +$0.02 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.11 | $0.960 | $0.17 | -$2.81 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 7.72 | $0.227 | $0.06 | -$1.69 |
| sell |
| 0.01 |
| $0.430 |
| $0 |
| 16d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 0.03 | $0.430 | $0.01 | 16d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 0.06 | $0.670 | $0.04 | 16d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 0.08 | $0.670 | $0.05 | 16d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 0.05 | $0.670 | $0.03 | 16d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 0.06 | $0.670 | $0.04 | 16d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.670 | $0.01 | 16d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 5.3 | $0.200 | $1.06 | 16d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.670 | $0.01 | 16d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 0.09 | $0.430 | $0.04 | 16d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 0.1 | $0.430 | $0.04 | 16d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 0.52 | $0.430 | $0.22 | 16d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 0.02 | $0.670 | $0.01 | 16d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 0.16 | $0.430 | $0.07 | 17d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 0.16 | $0.430 | $0.07 | 17d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 0.97 | $0.430 | $0.42 | 17d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 0.33 | $0.660 | $0.22 | 17d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.820 | $1.09 | 18d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 0.03 | $0.650 | $0.02 | 18d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 0.62 | $0.430 | $0.27 | 18d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 0.13 | $0.430 | $0.06 | 18d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.430 | $0 | 18d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 0.59 | $0.430 | $0.25 | 18d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 0.02 | $0.680 | $0.01 | 20d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.680 | $0.01 | 20d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.680 | $0.01 | 20d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 0.45 | $0.680 | $0.31 | 20d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 0.03 | $0.680 | $0.02 | 20d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.680 | $0.01 | 20d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.680 | $0.01 | 20d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 0.08 | $0.680 | $0.05 | 21d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 2.36 | $0.450 | $1.06 | 21d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 0.59 | $0.680 | $0.4 | 21d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 0.97 | $0.710 | $0.69 | 24d ago |
| Will Matthew Rhys – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a comedy series?No | buy | 13.68 | $0.076 | $1.04 | 29d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.19 | $0.210 | $1.09 | 29d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 0.89 | $0.740 | $0.66 | 29d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 0.11 | $0.730 | $0.08 | 29d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.56 | $0.730 | $1.14 | 29d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 0.19 | $0.730 | $0.14 | 29d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 0.02 | $0.630 | $0.01 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 0.05 | $0.630 | $0.03 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 0.11 | $0.630 | $0.07 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.630 | $0.01 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.630 | $0.01 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.630 | $0.01 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.630 | $0.01 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 0.14 | $0.630 | $0.09 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 0.02 | $0.630 | $0.01 | Aug 10, 2026 |