Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 109.4 | $0.530 | $66.18 | +$8.2 |
 Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 109.4 | $0.530 | $57.98 | 2d ago |
 |
| No |
| 91.91 |
| $0.483 |
| $65.3 |
| +$20.9 |
 Courts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan by October 31? | No | 29.99 | $0.710 | $22.64 | +$1.35 |
 Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 16.53 | $0.423 | $13.8 | +$6.8 |
| sell |
| 58.13 |
| $0.997 |
| $57.96 |
| 2d ago |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 25.82 | $0.738 | $19.06 | 8d ago |
| Courts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan by October 31?No | buy | 29.99 | $0.710 | $21.29 | 8d ago |
 Will Iran target Iraq by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 15.52 | $0.580 | $9 | 17d ago |
 Will the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 14.7 | $0.300 | $4.41 | 17d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | buy | 58.14 | $0.860 | $50 | 17d ago |
| Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | 17d ago |
| Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 11.53 | $0.434 | $5 | 17d ago |
 Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?No | sell | 70.88 | $0.870 | $61.67 | 17d ago |
 NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 29.19 | $0.959 | $28 | 17d ago |
 Will the Serbian National Assembly be dissolved by August 31?No | buy | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10 | 17d ago |
 US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?No | sell | 28.57 | $0.954 | $27.26 | 17d ago |
 Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 9.21 | $0.989 | $9.11 | 17d ago |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?No | buy | 70.89 | $0.870 | $61.67 | 27d ago |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.130 | $1.63 | 27d ago |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.800 | $10 | 27d ago |
| Will the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.680 | $10 | 27d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 79.55 | $0.880 | $70 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 9.21 | $0.760 | $7 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 72.09 | $0.971 | $70 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?No | buy | 28.57 | $0.350 | $10 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?No | buy | 91.91 | $0.483 | $44.4 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Iran successfully targets shipping on July 17?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.683 | $3.42 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 51.28 | $0.944 | $48.41 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 51.28 | $0.780 | $40 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?No | buy | 41.07 | $0.974 | $40 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 World Cup: Ronaldo to Score a Free Kick?No | buy | 40 | $0.875 | $35 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 140.35 | $0.130 | $18.25 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 140.35 | $0.570 | $80 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Knicks vs. SpursSpurs | buy | 75.76 | $0.660 | $50 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 103.98 | $0.962 | $100 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?Yes | buy | 19.62 | $0.814 | $15.96 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?No | sell | 16.51 | $0.975 | $16.1 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?Yes | buy | 57.43 | $0.812 | $46.62 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?No | sell | 23.8 | $0.957 | $22.78 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?No | sell | 25.64 | $0.931 | $23.87 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?Yes | buy | 19.67 | $0.813 | $16 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?No | sell | 18.81 | $0.874 | $16.44 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?No | buy | 16.51 | $0.969 | $16 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | sell | 38.82 | $0.030 | $1.16 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | sell | 528.84 | $0.030 | $15.87 | May 16, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 6.87 | $0.630 | $4.33 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?Yes | sell | 6.98 | $0.615 | $4.29 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 38.83 | $0.777 | $30.17 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 16, 2026?Yes | sell | 31.44 | $0.970 | $30.5 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 26.56 | $0.781 | $20.74 | May 15, 2026 |
 Iran coup attempt by June 30?No | sell | 22.98 | $0.890 | $20.45 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 42.31 | $0.969 | $41 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 6.6 | $0.969 | $6.4 | May 15, 2026 |