Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 485.86 | $0.860 | $425.13 | +$7.13 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 130.68 | $0.880 | $115 | 4d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 548.07 |
| $0.730 |
| $408.31 |
| +$8.32 |
 Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 452.24 | $0.663 | $291.69 | -$8.31 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 254.65 | $0.860 | $246.25 | +$27.25 |
 Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 156.62 | $0.880 | $137.05 | -$0.78 |
 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 143.84 | $0.695 | $130.89 | +$30.89 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 117.65 | $0.850 | $110 | +$10 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 112.36 | $0.890 | $106.18 | +$6.18 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | No | 112.36 | $0.890 | $102.25 | +$2.25 |
 Will a European country take military action on Iran by December 31? | No | 112.36 | $0.890 | $101.69 | +$1.69 |
 Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 364.29 | $0.275 | $94.71 | -$5.29 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.910 | $92.5 | +$1.5 |
 Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? | No | 105.97 | $0.472 | $90.61 | +$40.61 |
 Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 72.41 | $0.870 | $52.14 | -$10.86 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | No | 60.24 | $0.830 | $50.6 | +$0.6 |
 Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 138.89 | $0.360 | $49.31 | -$0.69 |
 Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? | No | 64.26 | $0.778 | $49.16 | -$0.84 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 84.6 | $0.591 | $31.51 | -$18.49 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 103.94 | $0.269 | $16.16 | -$11.84 |
| buy |
| 146.74 |
| $0.681 |
| $100 |
| 4d ago |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 174.48 | $0.573 | $100 | 4d ago |
| Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 72.41 | $0.870 | $63 | 6d ago |
| Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 138.89 | $0.360 | $50 | 6d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No | buy | 60.24 | $0.830 | $50 | 6d ago |
| Will a European country take military action on Iran by December 31?No | buy | 112.36 | $0.890 | $100 | 6d ago |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 133.9 | $0.880 | $117.83 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Total Internet Blackout in Iran by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 114.48 | $0.874 | $100 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 115.4 | $0.420 | $48.47 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 123.83 | $0.808 | $100 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No | buy | 112.36 | $0.890 | $100 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | buy | 254.65 | $0.860 | $219 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 249.69 | $0.801 | $200 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 389.31 | $0.995 | $387.36 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 34.44 | $0.991 | $34.13 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 22.73 | $0.880 | $20 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 34.44 | $0.581 | $20 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 364.29 | $0.275 | $100 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 277.75 | $0.720 | $200 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 401.33 | $0.748 | $300 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 103.94 | $0.269 | $28 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 84.6 | $0.591 | $50 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?No | buy | 217.39 | $0.920 | $200 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Total Internet Blackout in Iran by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 126.68 | $0.789 | $100 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Total Internet Blackout in Iran by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 218.14 | $0.917 | $200 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 232.56 | $0.860 | $200 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 122.62 | $0.840 | $103 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?No | buy | 174.7 | $0.801 | $140 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?No | buy | 105.97 | $0.472 | $50 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?No | buy | 64.26 | $0.778 | $50 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.910 | $91 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?No | buy | 87.72 | $0.570 | $50 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 112.36 | $0.890 | $100 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 119.05 | $0.840 | $100 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?No | buy | 86.21 | $0.580 | $50 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 7?No | buy | 151.52 | $0.330 | $50 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?No | buy | 143.84 | $0.695 | $100 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 117.65 | $0.850 | $100 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 270.27 | $0.740 | $200 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 113.64 | $0.880 | $100 | Jul 2, 2026 |