Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Steven Tisch be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No | sell | 20 | $0.880 | $17.6 | Feb 14, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 20 |
| $0.890 |
| $17.8 |
| Feb 14, 2026 |
 Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on February 12?Up | buy | 100 | $0.530 | $53 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 NYA (NYA) Up or Down on February 11?Down | buy | 100 | $0.700 | $70 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on February 11?Down | buy | 100 | $0.600 | $60 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on February 11?Down | buy | 100 | $0.480 | $48 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on February 10?Up | buy | 100 | $0.490 | $49 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will Meta (META) close above $670 on February 9?No | buy | 25 | $0.690 | $17.25 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will Meta (META) close above $670 on February 9?No | buy | 25 | $0.690 | $17.25 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on February 9?Down | buy | 100 | $0.540 | $54 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on February 9?Down | buy | 100 | $0.430 | $43 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 LoL: HMBLE vs EKO Esports (BO5) - LIT PlayoffsEKO Esports | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will CapCut: Photo & Video Editor be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?No | buy | 10.41 | $0.999 | $10.4 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Grok be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?No | buy | 10.41 | $0.999 | $10.4 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?No | buy | 10.42 | $0.998 | $10.4 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Whatnot: Shop, Sell, Collect be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?No | buy | 10.42 | $0.998 | $10.4 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?No | buy | 10.42 | $0.998 | $10.4 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?No | buy | 10.43 | $0.997 | $10.4 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?Yes | buy | 10.55 | $0.986 | $10.4 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 34.1 | $0.997 | $34 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 36.25 | $0.938 | $34 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.2% in December?No | buy | 14.04 | $0.997 | $14 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in December?No | buy | 14.21 | $0.985 | $14 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?No | buy | 10.42 | $0.998 | $10.4 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?Yes | buy | 11.09 | $0.938 | $10.4 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Spurs vs. CelticsCeltics | buy | 200 | $0.500 | $100 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of January 5 above $290?Yes | buy | 15.02 | $0.999 | $15 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?No | buy | 4.44 | $0.999 | $4.44 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will CapCut: Photo & Video Editor be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?No | buy | 4.44 | $0.999 | $4.44 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?No | buy | 4.44 | $0.999 | $4.44 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will Grok be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?No | buy | 4.44 | $0.999 | $4.44 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?No | buy | 4.47 | $0.994 | $4.44 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?Yes | buy | 4.51 | $0.984 | $4.44 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will Elon and DOGE cut more than 200k employees in 2025?Yes | buy | 7.4 | $0.985 | $7.29 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will Elon and DOGE cut 150-200k employees in 2025?No | buy | 7.4 | $0.994 | $7.36 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will Elon and DOGE cut 100-150k employees in 2025?No | buy | 7.4 | $0.991 | $7.33 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will Elon and DOGE cut 50-100k employees in 2025?No | buy | 7.4 | $0.999 | $7.39 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Thunder vs. WarriorsWarriors | buy | 96 | $0.240 | $23.04 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Jazz vs. ClippersJazz | buy | 37.04 | $0.270 | $10 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 236.17 | $0.230 | $54.32 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 31?No | buy | 46 | $0.730 | $33.58 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 236.17 | $0.290 | $68.49 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 163.88 | $0.080 | $13.11 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Lakers vs. ClippersLakers | buy | 68 | $0.270 | $18.36 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| Lakers vs. ClippersLakers | buy | 78.12 | $0.310 | $24.22 | Dec 21, 2025 |
 Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2025-12-20?No | buy | 190 | $0.750 | $142.5 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-21?No | buy | 5.46 | $0.550 | $3 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Spurs vs. KnicksSpurs | buy | 100 | $0.440 | $44 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Spurs vs. KnicksSpurs | buy | 99.7 | $0.440 | $43.87 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 210.53 | $0.950 | $200 | Dec 9, 2025 |