Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?Yes | buy | 558.3 | $0.332 | $185.17 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 2.09K |
| $0.692 |
| $1.45K |
| Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Ivanopillya by November 30?No | buy | 1.52K | $0.672 | $1.02K | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?No | buy | 1.47K | $0.553 | $815 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?Yes | buy | 657.75 | $0.297 | $195.43 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?Yes | buy | 80.29 | $0.035 | $2.81 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?No | sell | 65.42 | $0.043 | $2.81 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?No | buy | 1.63K | $0.500 | $813.27 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Yampil' by November 30?No | buy | 61.8 | $0.419 | $25.92 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?No | sell | 769.23 | $0.828 | $637.02 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 More EU sanctions on Russia by October 31?No | sell | 82 | $0.027 | $2.17 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?No | buy | 28.35 | $0.690 | $19.56 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Rodynske by October 31?No | buy | 484.61 | $0.840 | $407.07 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Shakhove by October 31?No | buy | 432.6 | $0.810 | $350.47 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?No | sell | 240 | $0.652 | $156.4 | Oct 20, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by November 30?No | sell | 1.91K | $0.217 | $414.31 | Oct 20, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?No | buy | 5.27K | $0.413 | $2.17K | Oct 18, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by November 30?No | buy | 1.89K | $0.530 | $1K | Oct 18, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?No | buy | 789.99 | $0.869 | $686.41 | Oct 18, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?No | buy | 1.07K | $0.850 | $907.72 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas in 2025?No | sell | 695.59 | $0.930 | $647.1 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands in 2025?No | sell | 867.1 | $0.903 | $783.18 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Siversk by October 31?No | sell | 1.16K | $0.960 | $1.12K | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Ukraine election called in 2025?No | sell | 129.67 | $0.940 | $121.89 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?No | sell | 109.89 | $0.975 | $107.11 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 1.97K | $0.951 | $1.87K | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Slovainsk in 2025?No | sell | 140.84 | $0.951 | $133.94 | Oct 18, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?No | buy | 190.33 | $0.820 | $156.07 | Oct 18, 2025 |
| Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands in 2025?No | sell | 5 | $0.937 | $4.69 | Oct 18, 2025 |
| More EU sanctions on Russia by October 31?No | buy | 82 | $0.750 | $61.5 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?No | buy | 113.03 | $0.423 | $47.82 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by November 30?No | buy | 18.44 | $0.440 | $8.11 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Patriot" or "Tomahawk" 3+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?No | buy | 4K | $0.005 | $21.15 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "NATO" 3+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?No | buy | 9.38K | $0.010 | $93.81 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Percent" 4+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?No | buy | 2.45K | $0.010 | $24.5 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Trillion" or "Million" or "Billion" 8+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?No | buy | 188 | $0.095 | $17.92 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Trillion" or "Million" or "Billion" 8+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?No | buy | 12.44 | $0.010 | $0.12 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee in 2025?No | sell | 117.9 | $0.940 | $110.83 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Yampil' by October 31?No | buy | 111.49 | $0.830 | $92.54 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Shakhove by October 31?No | buy | 264 | $0.830 | $219.12 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?No | sell | 681.08 | $0.972 | $662.28 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Yampil' by October 31?No | buy | 724.67 | $0.760 | $550.75 | Oct 15, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Yampil' by October 31?No | buy | 131.58 | $0.760 | $100 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | sell | 39.32 | $0.400 | $15.73 | Oct 15, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.410 | $41 | Oct 15, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?No | sell | 718.17 | $0.810 | $581.72 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,000 on October 14?No | buy | 134.16 | $0.840 | $112.69 | Oct 11, 2025 |
 100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?Yes | buy | 350 | $0.330 | $115.5 | Oct 11, 2025 |
 US x China tariff agreement by November 10?No | buy | 272.72 | $0.220 | $60 | Oct 11, 2025 |
 Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2025?Yes | buy | 796.25 | $0.080 | $63.7 | Oct 11, 2025 |