Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 54.86 | $0.401 | $22 | Nov 5, 2024 |
|
| buy |
| 56.27 |
| $0.391 |
| $22 |
| Nov 5, 2024 |
 Democrats win popular vote by 7% or more?Yes | buy | 26.79 | $0.084 | $2.25 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Ohio Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Iowa Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 71.11 | $0.180 | $12.8 | Nov 3, 2024 |
 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 23.08 | $0.130 | $3 | Oct 24, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.410 | $10 | Oct 24, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 27.57 | $0.399 | $11 | Oct 24, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 45.83 | $0.240 | $11 | Oct 24, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 65.22 | $0.230 | $15 | Oct 23, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | Oct 23, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 113.64 | $0.044 | $5 | Oct 23, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 86.96 | $0.230 | $20 | Oct 23, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 54.67 | $0.360 | $19.68 | Oct 22, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Nevada Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.450 | $15 | Oct 21, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?No | buy | 60.98 | $0.410 | $25 | Oct 21, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?No | buy | 33.98 | $0.400 | $13.59 | Oct 21, 2024 |
 Walz and Vance debate on Oct 1?No | buy | 28.57 | $0.070 | $2 | Aug 17, 2024 |
 1 Vance vs. Walz debate before election?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.140 | $2 | Aug 17, 2024 |
| No Vance vs. Walz debates before election?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.050 | $2 | Aug 17, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.170 | $11.9 | Aug 17, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104Yes | buy | 32.64 | $0.129 | $4.21 | Aug 4, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 9.8 | $0.430 | $4.21 | Aug 4, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 19.98 | $0.426 | $8.51 | Aug 1, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 155-214Yes | buy | 80 | $0.025 | $2 | Aug 1, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.033 | $3 | Aug 1, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104Yes | buy | 42.02 | $0.119 | $5 | Aug 1, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win North Carolina Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Jul 30, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 6.41 | $0.750 | $4.81 | Jul 30, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | Jul 30, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | Jul 30, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 11.63 | $0.430 | $5 | Jul 30, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 28.72 | $0.383 | $11 | Jul 30, 2024 |
 538 favorite when forecast is turned on?Kamala | buy | 7.69 | $0.390 | $3 | Jul 30, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Arizona Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | Jul 30, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.090 | $2 | Jul 30, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 55.44 | $0.090 | $4.99 | Jul 28, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Jul 27, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.090 | $6 | Jul 27, 2024 |
 Will Biden finish his term?No | buy | 14.81 | $0.270 | $4 | Jul 27, 2024 |