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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | Yes | 61.92 | $0.760 | $60.19 | +$13.13 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 48 | $0.057 | $2.74 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 41.93 |
| $0.386 |
| $19.23 |
| +$3.04 |
 Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? | Yes | 42 | $0.420 | $6.09 | -$11.55 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 15.74 | $0.270 | $4.01 | -$0.24 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 21.27 | $0.120 | $2.65 | +$0.1 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 48 | $0.310 | $2.64 | -$12.24 |
| buy |
| 48 |
| $0.310 |
| $14.88 |
| Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?Yes | buy | 21.85 | $0.420 | $9.18 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | buy | 27.7 | $0.597 | $16.54 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 36.27 | $0.120 | $4.35 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?No | buy | 7.24 | $0.380 | $2.75 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 25.33 | $0.100 | $2.53 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 28.69 | $0.320 | $9.18 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No | buy | 10 | $0.540 | $5.4 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?No | buy | 15 | $0.750 | $11.25 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?Yes | buy | 38.03 | $0.090 | $3.42 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will Charles McCall win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 33.25 | $0.090 | $2.99 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?No | sell | 28.32 | $0.770 | $21.81 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No | sell | 43.69 | $0.581 | $25.36 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Yes | sell | 39.25 | $0.190 | $7.46 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 33.31 | $0.724 | $24.12 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 38.18 | $0.740 | $28.25 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Charles McCall win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?Yes | sell | 45.2 | $0.080 | $3.62 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 21.88 | $0.370 | $8.1 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Yes | sell | 38.47 | $0.122 | $4.69 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will voter turnout be 68–71% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.089 | $0.44 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?Yes | buy | 23.95 | $0.089 | $2.13 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 36.78 | $0.720 | $26.48 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?Yes | buy | 25.02 | $0.250 | $6.26 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 19.67 | $0.131 | $2.58 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?No | buy | 35.75 | $0.100 | $3.58 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?No | buy | 34.66 | $0.500 | $17.33 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 15?No | buy | 30.32 | $0.560 | $16.98 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.340 | $11.33 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 38.82 | $0.180 | $6.99 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 38.91 | $0.080 | $3.11 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?No | buy | 16.12 | $0.370 | $5.96 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.084 | $1.76 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?No | buy | 8.86 | $0.400 | $3.54 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?Yes | buy | 39.79 | $0.110 | $4.38 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?Yes | buy | 38.23 | $0.085 | $3.25 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.080 | $3.2 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?No | buy | 27.79 | $0.659 | $18.31 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes | buy | 14.98 | $0.071 | $1.06 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 48 | $0.370 | $17.76 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Yes | buy | 38.48 | $0.130 | $5 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026?Yes | sell | 27.86 | $0.050 | $1.39 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?Yes | sell | 31.46 | $0.080 | $2.52 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?Yes | sell | 39.83 | $0.070 | $2.79 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?Yes | sell | 38.15 | $0.070 | $2.67 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?No | sell | 41.55 | $0.080 | $3.32 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.081 | $1.7 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 43.9 | $0.080 | $3.51 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | sell | 34.7 | $0.130 | $4.51 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?Yes | sell | 40.43 | $0.100 | $4.04 | Apr 5, 2026 |