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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 396.75 | $0.846 | $347.16 | +$11.5 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 272.07 | $0.963 | $262 | 1d ago |
|
| No |
| 272.07 |
| $0.963 |
| $261.32 |
| -$0.68 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 215 | $0.931 | $208.33 | +$8.08 |
 Yoon out of custody before 2027? | No | 200 | $0.809 | $185.7 | +$23.94 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? | No | 174 | $0.646 | $153.12 | +$40.62 |
 Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | No | 161.72 | $0.919 | $151.78 | +$3.15 |
 No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027 | No | 180 | $0.840 | $139.5 | -$11.7 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 200 | $0.693 | $129.7 | -$8.8 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 195.08 | $0.279 | $104.37 | +$50 |
 Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.880 | $95.55 | +$7.55 |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.513 | $93.6 | +$42.3 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 100 | $0.856 | $92.85 | +$7.25 |
 U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.880 | $91.5 | +$3.5 |
 Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 100 | $0.860 | $90.5 | +$4.5 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 123.21 | $0.669 | $88.09 | +$5.72 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 100 | $0.753 | $85.65 | +$10.35 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? | No | 100 | $0.630 | $75.5 | +$12.5 |
 US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | No | 75.47 | $0.580 | $65.28 | +$21.51 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 117 | $0.734 | $63.77 | -$22.06 |
 Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 100 | $0.800 | $54 | -$26 |
 Will the Republican Party win the CO-02 House seat? | No | 45.47 | $0.944 | $44.86 | +$1.93 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 42.15 | $0.880 | $36.46 | -$0.63 |
 Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | No | 145 | $0.594 | $34.8 | -$51.3 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | No | 200 | $0.359 | $33 | -$38.8 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 200 | $0.310 | $30.3 | -$31.8 |
| buy |
| 238.72 |
| $0.850 |
| $202.91 |
| Jul 20, 2026 |
 Valorant: Nova Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group AlphaNova Esports | buy | 5 | $0.800 | $4 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSpain | buy | 5 | $0.590 | $2.95 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 PlayoffsHeroic | buy | 5 | $0.780 | $3.9 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?No | sell | 199.99 | $0.995 | $198.91 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 158.04 | $0.840 | $132.75 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?No | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Knicks vs. SpursSpurs | buy | 55 | $0.680 | $37.4 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Knicks vs. SpursSpurs | buy | 33 | $0.680 | $22.44 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Knicks vs. SpursSpurs | buy | 15 | $0.680 | $10.2 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.898 | $4.49 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.897 | $4.49 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.897 | $4.49 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.962 | $1 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.962 | $1 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.963 | $1 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.963 | $1 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Knicks vs. SpursSpurs | buy | 5 | $0.680 | $3.4 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Knicks vs. SpursSpurs | buy | 5 | $0.680 | $3.4 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Knicks vs. SpursSpurs | buy | 5 | $0.680 | $3.4 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group StageLGD Gaming | buy | 300 | $0.710 | $213 | May 28, 2026 |
| Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group StagePARIVISION | buy | 300 | $0.650 | $195 | May 28, 2026 |
 Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore OriolesBaltimore Orioles | buy | 300 | $0.950 | $285 | May 27, 2026 |
| Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group StageBetBoom Team | buy | 500 | $0.800 | $400 | May 27, 2026 |
| Spurs vs. ThunderThunder | buy | 1.5K | $0.590 | $885 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?No | sell | 40 | $0.460 | $18.4 | May 26, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?No | sell | 49.56 | $0.680 | $33.7 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 18.78 | $0.580 | $10.89 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | buy | 100 | $0.880 | $88 | May 26, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?No | buy | 49.56 | $0.600 | $29.74 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?No | sell | 12.5 | $0.650 | $8.13 | May 26, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?No | buy | 8 | $0.320 | $2.56 | May 25, 2026 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?No | buy | 5.11 | $0.480 | $2.45 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?No | sell | 28 | $0.980 | $27.44 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?No | buy | 24.11 | $0.040 | $0.96 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.790 | $79 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.750 | $75 | May 25, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 8 | $0.360 | $2.88 | May 25, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No | sell | 7 | $0.230 | $1.61 | May 25, 2026 |
 New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?No | sell | 13 | $0.350 | $4.55 | May 25, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.650 | $65 | May 25, 2026 |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?No | buy | 7.84 | $0.300 | $2.35 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?No | sell | 45 | $0.900 | $40.5 | May 25, 2026 |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?No | sell | 33 | $0.312 | $10.31 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?No | sell | 35.73 | $0.800 | $28.58 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?No | buy | 70.6 | $0.820 | $57.89 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.540 | $10.8 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.720 | $72 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?No | buy | 13.4 | $0.670 | $8.98 | May 25, 2026 |