Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 515.02 | $0.777 | $445.49 | +$45.49 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 24.14 | $0.290 | $7 | 10d ago |
 |
| No |
| 508.47 |
| $0.590 |
| $394.07 |
| +$94.07 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.63K | $0.215 | $287.07 | -$62.13 |
 Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 326.61 | $0.587 | $248.23 | +$56.56 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.42K | $0.052 | $136.9 | +$10.91 |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | Yes | 6.31K | $0.037 | $110.36 | -$126.04 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 52.43 | $0.744 | $41.68 | +$2.69 |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 24.14 | $0.290 | $6.76 | -$0.24 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 3.13 | $0.830 | $2.8 | +$0.2 |
| sell |
| 195.03 |
| $0.025 |
| $4.82 |
| 10d ago |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 1.6K | $0.214 | $343.72 | 20d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | sell | 379.74 | $0.940 | $356.96 | 20d ago |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.830 | $2.6 | 26d ago |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.82 | $0.490 | $0.89 | 26d ago |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 2.42K | $0.052 | $126 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 379.75 | $0.790 | $300 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 582.67 | $0.739 | $430.76 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 2.24K | $0.043 | $97.2 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 119.34 | $0.824 | $98.34 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 4.11K | $0.034 | $140 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 179.99 | $0.372 | $66.88 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 483.09 | $0.828 | $400 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | buy | 326.61 | $0.587 | $191.67 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?No | buy | 508.47 | $0.590 | $300 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 77.65 | $0.554 | $43 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | sell | 68.49 | $0.640 | $43.83 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | buy | 41.62 | $0.745 | $30.99 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 120 | $0.221 | $26.52 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 25.21 | $0.221 | $5.57 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | buy | 10.81 | $0.740 | $8 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 68.49 | $0.730 | $50 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 104.17 | $0.480 | $50 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 504.21 | $0.221 | $111.43 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 10K | $0.002 | $20 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 24.32 | $0.835 | $20.31 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 7.6K | $0.002 | $15.2 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?No | sell | 15.44 | $0.936 | $14.45 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 5K | $0.002 | $10 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 42.91 | $0.240 | $10.3 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 2.5K | $0.002 | $5 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?No | sell | 5.2 | $0.937 | $4.87 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 444.44 | $0.045 | $20 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?No | sell | 21.66 | $0.931 | $20.17 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.02K | $0.045 | $46 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?No | sell | 34.95 | $0.984 | $34.39 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?No | sell | 11.65 | $0.984 | $11.46 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 97.56 | $0.041 | $4 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 243.24 | $0.740 | $180 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 515.02 | $0.777 | $400 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?No | buy | 329.67 | $0.910 | $300 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No | sell | 152.02 | $0.680 | $103.37 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 197.18 | $0.540 | $106.48 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 36.23 | $0.410 | $14.85 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 833.33 | $0.507 | $422.74 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?No | buy | 236.61 | $0.942 | $223 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 833.33 | $0.720 | $600 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?No | buy | 430.64 | $0.929 | $400 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No | sell | 1.65K | $0.521 | $857.16 | Jun 8, 2026 |