Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 130 | $0.029 | $3.77 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 300 |
| $0.080 |
| $24 |
| Feb 21, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 501.1 | $0.100 | $50 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.050 | $25 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?Yes | sell | 220 | $0.470 | $103.45 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 36.36 | $0.110 | $4 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?Yes | buy | 252.25 | $0.040 | $10 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.210 | $63 | Oct 19, 2025 |
| Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?Yes | buy | 220 | $0.130 | $28.6 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Russia EditionNo | buy | 300 | $0.140 | $42 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Will BLS stop reporting payroll data this year?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.110 | $11 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 Will Raphinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 296.3 | $0.027 | $8 | Sep 22, 2025 |
 Ukraine hits Moscow by September 30?Yes | buy | 261.3 | $0.230 | $60 | Sep 12, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 137.34 | $0.218 | $30 | Jun 19, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 137.61 | $0.218 | $30 | Jun 19, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 730.26 | $0.254 | $185.7 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before July?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.600 | $60 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.305 | $30.5 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 330.27 | $0.151 | $50 | Jun 15, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on May 31?Yes | buy | 419.1 | $0.048 | $20 | May 11, 2025 |
 Pakistan military strike on India by Friday?No | buy | 3.33K | $0.003 | $10 | May 9, 2025 |
| Pakistan military strike on India by Friday?No | buy | 50.13 | $0.399 | $20 | May 6, 2025 |
 Israel military action against Iran before June?Yes | buy | 251.25 | $0.199 | $50 | May 5, 2025 |
 Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?Yes | sell | 33.33 | $0.280 | $9.33 | May 5, 2025 |
 Champions LeagueQuarterfinals: Arsenal vs. Real MadridReal Madrid | buy | 722 | $0.070 | $50.32 | Apr 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump lower tariffs on Argentina next?Yes | buy | 52 | $0.045 | $2.34 | Apr 7, 2025 |
| Will Trump lower tariffs on Argentina next?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.044 | $1.76 | Apr 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump announce a general Tariff on imports on April 2?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.959 | $191.78 | Apr 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump announce a general Tariff on imports on April 2?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.211 | $42.26 | Apr 2, 2025 |
 Will Manchester United win on 2025-04-01?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.290 | $29 | Mar 21, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2025?No | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Mar 19, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.269 | $134.52 | Mar 12, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025?Yes | buy | 1.48K | $0.044 | $65.59 | Mar 10, 2025 |
| Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | Mar 10, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.090 | $45 | Jan 21, 2025 |
 Will Solana hit $300 by January 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 97.73 | $0.358 | $35 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Will the CDU/CSU win 35-40% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.060 | $60 | Jan 15, 2025 |
 Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.190 | $7.6 | Jan 11, 2025 |
 Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.140 | $14 | Jan 9, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.250 | $100 | Jan 8, 2025 |
 Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.210 | $25.2 | Jan 8, 2025 |
 Will FDP be part of the next German government?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.200 | $30 | Jan 7, 2025 |
| Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-15?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.084 | $41.89 | Dec 15, 2024 |
| Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-04?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.030 | $30 | Dec 4, 2024 |
 Ethereum above $3,300 on November 29?No | buy | 1.45K | $0.021 | $30 | Nov 28, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.014 | $7 | Nov 25, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?No | buy | 150 | $0.100 | $15 | Nov 21, 2024 |
 Germany confidence vote in 2024?Yes | buy | 236.31 | $0.243 | $57.39 | Nov 8, 2024 |
 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, D HouseYes | sell | 148.14 | $0.290 | $42.96 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or?Yes | buy | 85.83 | $0.117 | $10 | Oct 28, 2024 |